June 2024 U.S. Stock Market Trend Analysis

1. Mixed U.S. Stock Market, Influenced by Trump's Tariff Policy and Economic Indicators

Former President Trump announced a new tariff policy but left room for negotiation.
Inflation indicators eased somewhat, positively impacting the stock market.
The S&P 500 approached its intraday high but closed slightly lower.
The Nasdaq recovered its upward trend after three weeks, regaining the 20,000 level.

2. Major Individual Stock Analysis

(1) Apple (AAPL) Continues to Rise

Increased due to news of the release of the budget iPhone SE 4 and cooperation with Alibaba in developing AI iPhones in China.
Continued to rise for four consecutive trading days, increasing market capitalization.
Berkshire Hathaway maintained its Apple stake in the fourth quarter while selling off bank stocks.

(2) Berkshire Hathaway (Warren Buffett Investment Trends)

Maintained Apple stake, with Apple accounting for 28% of the total portfolio.
Conversely, significantly reduced holdings in bank stocks such as Bank of America (BOA) and Citigroup.
New investment stocks:
- Constellation Brands (beer distributor): Newly purchased 5.62 million shares
- Domino's Pizza: Purchased 110,000 shares
- Pool Corp. (pool cleaning company): Purchased 190,000 shares

(3) Druckenmiller (Stanley Druckenmiller) Investment Strategy Changes

Reduced Coupang stake by 24%
Sold off large quantities of major technology stocks such as Microsoft (MSFT), Starbucks, and Broadcom
Instead, massively purchased airline and healthcare-related stocks
- Focused on buying United Airlines, Delta Airlines, and American Airlines
- Delta Airlines stock price rose by 10%

(4) Alphabet (GOOGL), Arm Holdings (ARM), TSMC, etc. Stock Trends

Newly purchased Alphabet shares
Increased ARM stake by 725% to respond to AI semiconductor demand
Expanded TSMC stake by 87.5%

(5) Bridgewater

Newly purchased Tesla (TSLA) shares
Tesla is attracting attention due to the possibility of a contract with the U.S. government for electric armored vehicles.

(6) Meta (META) Record Longest Rise

Rose for 20 consecutive trading days, surpassing $760
Increased market expectations due to improved AI-based advertising revenue and pro-Trump stance

3. Artificial Intelligence, Semiconductor Market, and NVIDIA (NVDA)

NVIDIA stock price rose due to increased demand for AI semiconductors
Earnings announcement scheduled for February 26
Positive profit outlook due to increased AI investments by Big Tech companies

4. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Revenue Increase, Stock Price Soars

Surged more than 13% on news of Meta's AI investment
Plunged after accounting fraud allegations but is now rising again

5. Bitcoin's Stability Maintained

Recently rebounded from the $87,000 point
Possible rise to $120,000 if it breaks through $108,000

6. Other Stock Trends

Warner Music (WMG): Rose 3% on Citi's buy recommendation
Roku (ROKU): Rose 14% after announcing better-than-expected results
Airbnb (ABNB): Surged 14% due to strong performance
Twilio (TWLO): Plunged 15% due to poor performance
GameStop (GME): Rose 2% on news of considering cryptocurrency investment
DraftKings (DKNG): Rose 15% due to increased annual revenue guidance

< Summary >

Mixed U.S. Stock Market: Influenced by Trump's tariff policy and economic indicators
Apple, Meta, and Tesla Rise: Promoting innovative technology and investment
Berkshire Hathaway Investment Strategy: Maintaining Apple, selling bank stocks, entering new businesses
AI Sector Strong: Semiconductor stock prices rising, including NVIDIA, Super Micro Computer, and TSMC
Bitcoin Stable Flow: Potential for further rise if it breaks through $100,000
Warner Music and Airbnb Rise, Twilio Falls: Differentiated individual company performance

[More…]

U.S. Stock Market Outlook and 2024 Investment Strategy: https://nextgeninsight.net/?s=%EB%AF%B8%EA%B5%AD%EC%A6%9D%EC%8B%9C
AI Semiconductor Market and NVIDIA Stock Price Outlook: https://nextgeninsight.net/?s=%EC%97%94%EB%B9%84%EB%94%94%EC%95%84

*YouTube Source: [미국주식하는인갠]

– 세계 1위 투자자의 투자법. 주식투자 이 영상으로 끝?

Bitcoin and Altcoin Investment Strategies: 2024 Market Analysis

Building a Bitcoin-Centric Portfolio

Bitcoin is the most stable crypto asset, making a long-term holding strategy advantageous.
As institutional investors increase inflows, it is establishing itself as a store of value.
Price volatility is low, and the risk is relatively low compared to altcoins.
A strategy to increase stability is to allocate at least 60-70% of the portfolio to Bitcoin.

Current Status of the Altcoin Market

Altcoins are highly volatile and tend to move according to Bitcoin's market trends.
When Bitcoin falls, altcoins take a bigger hit.
It is advantageous for risk management to invest in altcoins after Bitcoin determines its direction.

Altcoin Selection Criteria

1. Investment Direction by Major Sector

Layer 1 Blockchain: Solana, Ethereum, etc.
- Solana's fundamentals have strengthened since 2023, and expectations for ETF approval are rising.
DeFi (Decentralized Finance) Projects: Uniswap, AAVE
- Decentralized finance is establishing itself as a major project in the trend of convergence with traditional finance.
AI-related Coins: GPU-based projects, AI agent projects
- As the AI and Big Tech market grows rapidly, related blockchain projects are also responding.

2. Coins with High ETF Approval Probability

Solana and XRP: High ETF approval prospects are attracting market attention.
Litecoin: Bloomberg Intelligence sees a 90% chance of approval.
Dogecoin: Unexpectedly cited as a possible ETF coin.

Altcoin Investment Strategies

1. Short-Term VS Long-Term Investment

Long-Term Investment: Projects with strong fundamentals such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.
Short-Term Investment: Projects connected to AI, DeFi, and specific events (ETF approval, etc.).

2. Diversification and Risk Management

Do not invest all-in on a single asset, but rather diversify holdings across coins in various sectors.
Capture appropriate selling and new entry points through analysis of overheating indicators (funding rates).

3. ETF Market Changes and Responses

As Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs are approved, the possibility of altcoin spot ETFs also increases.
If specific altcoin (Solana, XRP, Litecoin) ETFs are approved, a new bull market is possible.

Conclusion

Currently, it is effective to maintain a stable portfolio centered on Bitcoin in the cryptocurrency market, while selectively investing in altcoins with strong specific narratives.
It is expected that the crypto-friendly policies of the Trump administration will be reflected in 2024, and the convergence of traditional finance and blockchain will accelerate.
Strategic access to specific altcoins is needed depending on ETF approval, AI, and traditional financial convergence trends.

< Summary >

Bitcoin is advantageous for long-term holding strategies and plays a central asset role in reducing risk.
Altcoins are volatile, but differentiated investment strategies are needed depending on specific sectors (Layer 1, DeFi, AI, etc.).
Solana, XRP, Litecoin, and Dogecoin need to be noted for ETF expectations.
Altcoins must be diversified, and investment strategies that consider market changes (ETF approval, convergence with traditional finance) are recommended.

[More…]

Analysis of Solana ETF Possibility and Market Impact → https://nextgeninsight.net/?s=%EC%86%94%EB%9D%BC%EB%82%98
Introduction to AI Coin Investment Strategies and Promising Projects → https://nextgeninsight.net/?s=AI

*YouTube Source: [Jun’s economy lab]

– 알트코인 이것만 사면 됩니다(ft.박종한 작가 2부)

Bitcoin and Global Economic Outlook: Key Points

1. Shift in Existing Skepticism Towards Bitcoin

Economists and financial experts who strongly denied Bitcoin in the past (e.g., Professor Eugene Fama, Bill Gates, etc.) still hold negative views, but their numbers are generally decreasing.
Mainstream financial institutions are increasingly acknowledging Bitcoin, with its incorporation into regulated financial products like ETFs underway.

2. Trump Administration's Economic Policies and Bitcoin Outlook

Tariff Policies and Checking China: The Trump administration is implementing high tariff policies to check China, impacting the U.S. and the overall global economy.
Necessity of Maintaining a Strong Dollar: Due to concerns over inflation in the U.S. caused by tariffs, maintaining a strong dollar is a key economic management strategy.
Changes in Bitcoin's Position: While Trump made positive remarks about Bitcoin during his candidacy, it has not been officially mentioned since his inauguration.
- In the early days of his administration, resolving other economic priorities (e.g., checking China, managing inflation) took precedence due to policy interests.
- However, an executive order mentioned strengthening U.S. leadership in the digital asset sector, and gradual support is expected through the appointment of pro-cryptocurrency figures to relevant positions.

3. Global Economy and Bitcoin

U.S. vs. China Economic Hegemony: Some countries like China and Russia are purchasing large amounts of gold to reduce their dependence on the dollar, with digital assets (including Bitcoin) emerging as alternatives.
- Bitcoin's potential as an asset that complements the physical limitations of gold is increasing.
Major Risk Factors for Bitcoin:
- The U.S. government holds Bitcoin and may release it into the market to control volatility if necessary.
- Selling activities by major cryptocurrency whales (large holders) could shake the market.

4. Bitcoin Outlook for 2025

In the medium to long term, Bitcoin is likely to trend upward positively, but strong volatility is expected in the short term.
A full-fledged upward phase is likely to arrive after the second half of 2024, when the Trump administration's policies become more concrete.
It is advantageous for individual investors to pursue both short-term profit-taking and long-term holding strategies.

5. Conclusion: Bitcoin Investment Strategy

Short Term: A price range around 150 million KRW is likely within the year, with high volatility expected.
Long Term: As the global economic order changes, Bitcoin is likely to become an increasingly attractive asset.
Investors should consider market volatility and pursue both buying and selling in installments.

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