Palantir & AI: Job Apocalypse?

 



 

Let's explore Palantir's revenue and defense budget cut issues from various angles.

◆ Government vs. Commercial Revenue Ratio and Growth Rate
• Government Sector Revenue – Major government orders such as the U.S. Department of Defense account for approximately 42% of revenue. In particular, with the anticipated cuts in military spending during the Trump administration, scenarios of an 88% reduction in revenue were raised.
• Commercial Sector Revenue – Shows a faster growth rate of approximately 64% compared to the government sector, contributing significantly to overall revenue growth.
• Conclusion – Despite the pressure to reduce revenue in the government sector, the solid growth prospects in the commercial sector can partially support Palantir's fundamentals.

◆ Budget Items and Impact of Military Spending Cuts
• Peak Points – Major defense budget items such as the F-35 fighter jet, Virginia-class submarines, U.S. forces in Korea and the Indo-Pacific, and Northern and Space Commands are likely to be excluded from reduction targets.
• Key Exceptions – Budgets related to nuclear weapons, missile systems, and drones are not being cut, allowing Palantir to maintain its competitiveness in supplying defense technology and artificial intelligence solutions.
• Key Summary – While the military spending cut issue itself may be a factor in overall revenue decline, some of the items of concern for budget cuts are exempt, so the short-term burden may be limited.

◆ Stock Price Volatility and Valuation Outlook
• Short Selling Status – Recently, short selling volume accounts for approximately 27% of total trading volume, putting pressure on the stock price.
• Revenue and EPS Growth – Although annual revenue growth will gradually slow down from 2025, EPS is recording double-digit growth, maintaining an attractive growth momentum from a long-term investor perspective.
• Valuation Aspect – Currently, Palantir's P/E ratio is considered excessively high compared to its competitors, raising concerns about overvaluation. However, if a fair stock price is formed near $94, it can act as a buying opportunity during a decline.

◆ Investment Points and Market Outlook
• Short-Term Volatility – Given the increase in short selling volume and the surge in trading volume, a stock price correction phase may occur, so it seems more advantageous to approach it from a long-term perspective rather than a short-term investor perspective.
• Long-Term Growth Momentum – Thanks to the growth of the commercial sector and the maintenance of major government budget items, there is a possibility that the stock price will reach $200 and $300 from 2026 to 2028.
• Conclusion – Although the fundamentals are sound, investment strategies should be established while paying attention to the valuation's high valuation and the correction phase due to short-term short selling pressure.

[Related Articles at nextgeninsight.net/]

  1. Palantir Revenue Forecast > https://nextgeninsight.net/?s=%EB%A7%A4%EC%B6%9C
  2. Palantir Defense > https://nextgeninsight.net/?s=%EA%B5%AD%EB%B0%A9

*Source : [올랜도 킴 미국주식] (팔란티어) 담아가야 할 때인가?



 

An analysis of changes in job demand reveals that many existing jobs are likely to experience a sharp decline in demand due to industrial changes.

■ Changes in the Overall Labor Market
• Jobs traditionally considered stable are also at risk of declining demand in the future.
• In particular, the once commonplace patterns of large-scale hiring and firing are expected to become increasingly extreme.
• According to related research, layoffs could reach over 300,000 people annually, not just 100,000 in simple calculations.

■ Impact on High-Income Earners and Intellectual Laborers
• Demand is expected to decrease not only for general occupations but also for high-income earners, especially those in intellectual labor roles.
• Professions that were stable in the past, such as lawyers, are at risk of becoming obsolete.
• Intensified competition within the industry and technological advancements are likely to cause rapid changes in existing roles and work methods.

■ Intensification of Employment Difficulties for Graduates
• In the recent job market, the phenomenon of graduates not finding desired positions is prominent.
• Unlike the days when employment rates exceeded 200% just a few years ago, many graduates now fail to secure 100% employment.
• This is a direct result of reduced labor demand due to corporate restructuring, the introduction of artificial intelligence and automation technologies, and more.

■ Future Response Measures
• Individuals must continuously update their capabilities and acquire new skills and knowledge to adapt to the changing labor market.
• Businesses and the government should collaborate to strengthen education and re-employment programs, minimizing social instability.
• Professionals should develop additional capabilities beyond their core duties to prepare for new market opportunities.

Changes in the labor market and job structure are critical social issues that we all need to prepare for. Predicting the changes required by the times and preparing for them is key to maintaining individual competitiveness in the future.

[Related articles at nextgeninsight.net/]
Employment Trend Analysis > https://nextgeninsight.net/?s=%EC%B7%A8%EC%97%85
Legal Outlook > https://nextgeninsight.net/?s=%EB%B2%95%EB%A5%A0

*Source : [달란트투자] “변호사도 도태 위기” AI 때문에 수십만명 해고, 완전히 난장판된 미국 상황|이경일 대표 3부

    Let's explore Palantir's revenue and defense budget cut issues from various angles. ◆ Government vs. Commercial Revenue Ratio and Growth Rate • Government Sector Revenue – Major government orders such as the U.S. Department of Defense account for approximately 42% of revenue. In particular, with the anticipated cuts in military spending during the…

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