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● Trump-Recession Fears!

Overseas Stock Investment Trends and U.S. Fiscal Policy – Analysis of Stock Investment and Global Economic Outlook

Analysis of Net Purchases of Overseas Stocks

Reviewing the trends of the top 1 to 10 net purchased overseas stocks.
The top stock appears to be ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (SQQQ), and the second is a triple-leveraged Tesla-related product.
The third is a non-leveraged Tesla product.
The fourth is a Nasdaq 100-linked triple-leveraged product, and other stocks such as Nvidia, Palantir, and IonQ are also included in the rankings.
These net purchase trends indicate that stock investors are focusing on the use of leverage.

Cautions Regarding the Use of Leverage

Currently, investors appear to be heavily reliant on leveraged products.
Aggressively using leverage can amplify gains during market rebounds, but it carries significant risk before a definite bottom is confirmed.
Therefore, it is important to emphasize the strategy of additional investment upon breaking through the resistance line after reaching a low point.

U.S. Fiscal Policy and Interest Rate Cut Strategies

The U.S. government is burdened with a massive fiscal deficit (approximately 6% of GDP) and a debt ratio (122%).
Attempts are underway to reduce the fiscal deficit to some extent through interest rate cuts.
Lowering interest rates from the current mid-4% range to the 3% range is expected to have an effect of about 1.5 percentage points.
This policy is considered a measure to alleviate fiscal deficit issues.

The Role of GDP Growth and the AI Cycle

Simply lowering interest rates has limitations in improving finances, so expanding the GDP scale is key.
Productivity improvements and technological advancements through the AI cycle are expected to positively impact real GDP growth.
If GDP growth is supported across the economy, the burden of the fiscal deficit will also be relatively reduced.
Thus, the AI cycle and GDP growth are important keywords for the global economy and stock investment.

Investment Strategies and Outlook

Even if there are short-term adjustment phases, the U.S. government’s strategy is likely to be a long-term positive factor for the stock market.
Leveraged product risk management must be thorough, and rebound timing should be carefully observed.
Positive signals are emerging across the economy, including fiscal deficit alleviation, interest rate cuts, and GDP growth.
Therefore, it is worth considering a long-term investment strategy focusing on key keywords such as the global economy, stock investment, fiscal deficit, GDP growth, and the AI cycle.

The analysis of net purchases of overseas stocks confirms that investors are focusing on leveraged products.
The use of leverage can have a significant effect during a rebound, but there is a risk before confirming the bottom.
The U.S. has fiscal deficit and debt issues, but is attempting to solve them through interest rate cuts and GDP growth.
Productivity improvements through the AI cycle are expected to positively impact GDP growth.
Therefore, despite short-term adjustment phases, overall, positive investment opportunities can be sought.

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Overseas Stock Investment Analysis, U.S. Finance and Interest Rate Strategies

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