● Dollar Weakness- China, Europe, Asia Unite?
Shaking Dollar Empire: Global Foreign Exchange and Trade War: Analysis of Trends in the Key Currency Competition between the Dollar and the Yuan
1. The Current State of the US Dollar’s Hegemony and Crisis Signals
Despite the US dollar still maintaining a 44% transaction share as the key currency, its safe-haven asset image is wavering in several indicators.
The Trump administration’s trade war and tariff policies, as well as internal political conflicts, are negatively impacting the dollar’s value.
Large-scale protests, a decline in the president’s approval rating, and poor fiscal balance are raising questions about the dollar’s hegemony.
This situation is one of the core issues that foreign exchange market and global economic outlook experts are paying attention to.
2. The Rise of the Chinese Yuan and the Challenge to Key Currency Status
The transaction share of the Chinese Yuan is rising rapidly, from 0% in 2001 to 7% according to recent data.
China’s GDP growth rate is higher at 4-5% compared to the US’s 2%, so the construction of the Chinese economy is proceeding quickly.
In the long term, China’s move to establish the Yuan as a key currency is an undeniable trend.
China’s challenge is receiving great attention in the global foreign exchange market in terms of economic power, technological prowess, as well as geopolitical power and resource acquisition.
3. US-China Trade War and Global Trade Reorganization
The intensification of the US-China trade war is further revealing the trade imbalance between the US and China.
The US tried to boost its domestic manufacturing through tariff wars, but the boomerang effect significantly adjusted the economic growth rate.
Several countries, including Europe, Canada, and Mexico, are showing moves to reorganize trade with China or jointly respond instead of the US.
In this process, global trade flows and export strategies are being readjusted, which acts as an important variable in the economic outlook.
4. Fiscal and Financial Policy Instability and Dollar Weakness
As the US fiscal deficit and net interest expense burden increase, it is negatively affecting the dollar’s value along with the rise in Treasury yields.
As the policy direction of the Trump administration and the Fed’s interest rate policy diverge, the dollar index is observed to be falling sharply.
These conditions are undermining the credibility of the dollar as a safe-haven asset in the foreign exchange market and stimulating the psychology of other countries hesitating to buy US Treasuries.
The fact that the dollar’s status as a traditional key currency is wavering is an important warning sign for the global economic outlook.
5. Taiwan Dollar and Foreign Exchange Market Instability, Plaza Accord Fear
Recently, a phenomenon of sharp fluctuations in the Taiwan dollar exchange rate has appeared, and fears similar to the Plaza Accord are spreading in the foreign exchange market.
Volatility in the foreign exchange market is increasing as the Central Bank of Taiwan and the President are predicting emergency intervention measures.
Along with this, foreign exchange market participants in the United States, Europe, and Asia are expressing concerns about the dollar’s value.
These trends are interpreted as a result of the combination of complex factors such as the US-China trade war and interest rate policy instability.
< Summary >
The hegemony of the US dollar is still maintained, but the value of the dollar and the safe-haven asset image are wavering due to the Trump trade war, fiscal instability, and political conflicts.
The Chinese Yuan is accelerating the challenge to becoming a key currency based on GDP growth rate and rapid economic development.
In the process of the US-China trade war and trade reorganization, several countries are seeking China or other trade relations instead of the US, and the global trade structure is being reorganized.
In the foreign exchange market, the phenomenon of sharp fluctuations in the Taiwan dollar and other currencies and Plaza Accord fears are spreading, and the dollar is weakening.
All of these factors are acting as key issues related to the global economic outlook, the US-China trade war, key currency, and the foreign exchange market, and are foreshadowing major changes in the future international economic order.
[Related Articles…]
Dollar Empire Analysis
Yuan Hegemony Discussion
*YouTube Source: [경제 읽어주는 남자(김광석TV)]
– [모아보기] 달러 약세 충격파… 중국·유럽·아시아가 연대한다? 차세대 기축통화 시나리오

● S&P Survival, Uncertainty
2025 First Half Global Stock Market Crisis Survival Strategies
Unstable Market Conditions and Key Issues
In the first half of 2025, the global economy experienced increased stock market volatility due to a combination of factors, including economic slowdown, high-interest rates, and geopolitical risks.
In particular, the U.S. S&P 500 Index underwent stock price adjustments due to poor performance and declining profitability of technology stocks, but some companies showed strong resilience amidst the crisis.
This article delves into the survival strategies of four companies that have restored investor confidence through stable revenue structures and future growth strategies in the face of the global stock market crisis.
It includes content related to key SEO keywords such as the global economy, stock market, AI, cloud, and healthcare, providing essential information for readers interested in economic investment.
1. SMCI – Stock Price Surge Due to AI and Data Center Expansion
SMCI saw its stock price rise by over 50% due to the explosive demand for AI technology in the server and data solution sector.
With the increasing demand for high-performance computing, sales and profits are steadily increasing through data center expansion.
The company continues to expand high-value-added products based on artificial intelligence, maintaining strong growth momentum even amidst the crisis.
2. CVS Health – Stable Healthcare Demand Despite Economic Slowdown
CVS Health is a leading U.S. integrated healthcare company, providing a variety of services, including pharmacy chains and health insurance.
Last year’s fourth-quarter sales rose by 4.2% year-over-year, clearly demonstrating the essential consumer goods role of healthcare.
In particular, expanding access to major treatments such as Wegovy and mini-clinic expansions contributed to the stock price increase, providing investors with stable dividends and cash flow, making it a defensive stock in an uncertain environment.
3. Palantir Technologies – The Power of Data and AI Analysis Platforms
Palantir led the stock price increase based on the competitiveness of its big data and AI analysis platform amidst the expansion of government and private sector contracts.
Its own AI platform and continuous contract expansion are strengthening the company’s revenue growth and market position, maintaining a steady presence even in a technology stock downturn.
4. Microsoft – Stable Performance Through Cloud and AI Investment
Microsoft maintained the pride of traditional Big Tech companies through Azure cloud revenue growth and collaboration with OpenAI.
Thanks to continuous AI cloud investment and cost-saving strategies, it has maintained solid cash flow and dividends even in a bear market, restoring investor confidence.
Common Survival Strategy – The Secret to Sustainable Growth Amid Crisis
These four companies survived the crisis through the following three core strategies.
First, establishing a business model based on fixed demand that is resilient to economic fluctuations
Companies based on essential consumer goods, healthcare, and public contracts are representative.
Second, management focused on solid cash flow and dividends
Investors pay attention to stable income and dividends when uncertainty increases.
Third, focus on future growth themes such as AI, cloud, and bio
Focus on core businesses with structural growth potential to secure medium- to long-term buying power beyond short-term volatility.
Implications for Investors
The phenomenon observed in this first half crisis is that sustainable growth is taking precedence among investors over short-term high growth.
Overvalued companies not supported by performance are vulnerable to interest rate risks, while companies with solid financial structures and strong market dominance are creating opportunities in the crisis.
These examples suggest what the right investment strategy is in an uncertain global economic environment and can be an important reference for future investment directions.
As the global economic stock market becomes unstable due to economic slowdown, high-interest rates, and geopolitical risks, SMCI, CVS Health, Palantir, and Microsoft are implementing defensive strategies through future growth opportunities such as AI, cloud, and healthcare.
These companies demonstrate resilience in crisis situations by focusing on essential consumer bases, stable cash flow and dividends, and core growth themes.
Investors should focus on sustainable growth rather than short-term high growth, and can make better investment decisions by analyzing corporate strategies in crisis situations.
[Related Articles…]
Stock Market Volatility Analysis
AI Investment Strategy
*YouTube Source: [Maeil Business Newspaper]
– “푸른 깃발을 사수하라” S&P 기업들의 불확실성 속 생존 전략은? | 길금희 특파원

Leave a Reply