Fed Split, AI Boom, Bubble Crash – Alert!

● Fed’s Split – Rate Cut Hopes Clash With Long-Term Inflation Fears – Global Bond Jitters Ahead – AI Sector Playbook Released

[Consolidated View] Is a September Rate Cut Certain? The Essence of Fed Division and Powell’s Choice — 10 Key Insights + AI Trend Response Strategy

Important Content Included in This Article (Key Insights Not Commonly Covered in Other News/YouTube)

Explains the practical mechanism by which political and personnel pressures within the Fed affect dollar credibility and long-term Treasury yields.Demonstrates how the Fed’s “rate cut signals” can actually exacerbate long-term inflation risks, leading to a counter-effect of rising 30-year Treasury yields.Analyzes why “long-term yield seizures” in the global bond market repeatedly occur when stablecoins, fiscal deficits, tariff risks, and credit rating events converge simultaneously.Provides a time-sequenced response roadmap for investors (Now → September Jackson Hole/FOMC → Second Half of 2026) and specific positioning (cash, duration, hedging, asset allocation).From an AI trend perspective, offers practical recommendations on which AI sectors (infrastructure, cloud, semiconductors, enterprise software) present opportunities and risks based on “interest rate and liquidity changes.”

Summary of Key Trends by Chronological Order

2022–2024: Focused on inflation pressures, the Fed prioritized price stability (interest rate hikes).Mid-2024–2025: Global pivot (multiple countries cutting rates), while the US faces a risk of inflation rebound due to tariffs and supply shocks.Jackson Hole (Recent): Powell’s message signals a “shift in risk balance (inflation → employment),” but internal Fed division (pro-cut vs. hold/hawkish factions) intensifies.Current Situation (Now): Short-term rate expectations (rate cuts) are decreasing, but ultra-long-term Treasury yields are rising (steepening) — attributed to fiscal, political, and demand structure changes.Outlook for Second Half of 2026: The journey back to the neutral rate (around 3%) will proceed, with “Treasury seizures” risks occurring frequently amidst a liquidity-driven market.

The Essence of Fed Division and Its Ripple Effects (Detailed Breakdown)

Components of Division:Divergent views within the Fed (Waller/Bowman supporting cuts vs. Powell/majority concerned about holds/tightening).White House pressure on appointments and policy, and the inclusion of White House economic advisors like Steven Mullan in the Fed, amplify concerns about compromised independence.Legal and political events (e.g., controversy over Fed Governor dismissals) negatively impact central bank credibility.Key Ripple Effects:Declining dollar credibility → A shift in preference for safe havens (favoring gold, physical assets, alternative assets over US Treasuries).Changes in Treasury demand structure → Weakening long-term demand leads to rising term premia and higher long-term Treasury yields.Deepening policy uncertainty → Increased financial market volatility, triggering asset price re-evaluations.

Market Impact and Investment Signals by September (Jackson Hole/FOMC) Scenario

Scenario A — If Powell clearly signals a “rate cut”:Short-term: Stocks and risk assets rally, alternative assets like Bitcoin rise.Medium-term: Potential for renewed inflation concerns leading to a resurgence in long-term yields (steepening) — requiring management of duration risk.Investment Position: Shorten short-term duration, secure some inflation-linked bonds (TIPS), gold, and commodities.Scenario B — If Powell maintains a hawkish tone (hold/warning):Short-term: Adjustment in risk assets, potential recovery in preference for safe havens (US Treasuries).Medium-term: Risk of sharp declines in stocks and cryptocurrencies if rate cut expectations are dashed.Investment Position: Maintain cash and short-term bond allocation, defend with delta hedging and put options.Scenario C — If political events (tariff rulings, credit rating downgrades, etc.) occur simultaneously:Short-term: Potential for a “compound seizure” impacting dollars, Treasuries, and stocks all at once.Medium-term: Widening spreads on European peripheral sovereign debt (France, etc.) and emerging market debt.Investment Position: Global diversification, dollar hedging, gold, physical assets, reduce short-term leverage.

10 Hidden Factors Behind Rising Long-Term (30-Year) Treasury Yields — A Comprehensive List

1) Increased long-term supply (Treasury issuance) due to deteriorating global fiscal health.2) Risk of additional Treasury issuance due to US fiscal expansion (OBBA style) and uncertainty in tariff revenues (court rulings).3) Steepening (short-term down, long-term up) reflects investors demanding a premium for long-term inflation and policy risks.4) Deterioration of the long-term demand structure due to stablecoins’ concentrated purchases of short-term Treasuries.5) Political and credit rating risks in the Eurozone, including France, the UK, and Italy.6) Weakening attractiveness of dollar-based safe assets due to concerns about Fed independence erosion.7) Decline in “long-term buyer” presence from reduced holdings by global pension funds and domestic investors.8) Increased inflation uncertainty due to global economic and supply-side shocks (tariffs, supply chains).9) Rising term premium — investors demanding higher returns for long-term holdings.10) Potential for increased volatility from derivative and hedge fund leverage position liquidations.

Practical Investment Checklist (Scenario-Based, Including Priorities)

Preparing for Liquidity/Interest Rate Volatility: Secure short-term bonds and cash equivalents.Duration Management: Maintain portfolio duration shorter than targeted.Inflation Protection: Increase allocation to TIPS, gold, infrastructure, and commodities.Credit/Regional Risk: Reduce exposure to French, UK, Japanese Treasuries, and the financial sector (or operate cautiously).Hedging Instruments: Utilize gold futures, dollar-hedged ETFs, and short-term put options.Thorough Diversification: Within equities, combine AI/cloud/semiconductors (growth) with defensive sectors (healthcare/utilities).Leverage/Borrowing: Refrain from excessive leverage, avoid over-leveraging solely based on expectations of short-term rate declines.Policy/Event Monitoring: Constantly track tariff Supreme Court rulings, credit rating schedules, and FOMC statements.

AI Trend Perspective: Opportunities and Risks for AI Sectors from Interest Rate and Liquidity Environment

Growing expectations for rate cuts can be a short-term catalyst for growth stocks and AI valuations.However, persistent rises in long-term Treasury yields (inflation concerns) will put pressure on growth stock multiples.AI Investment Recommendations (Priority Order):1) Infrastructure (Data Centers/Networks) — Potential for increased capital expenditures in a liquidity-driven market.2) Semiconductors (especially AI accelerators) — Robust long-term demand, although short-term cyclical fluctuations exist.3) Cloud/Platform Companies — Lower interest rate sensitivity due to subscription-based revenue (stable cash flow).4) AI Security/Data Privacy — Defensive demand during periods of increased regulatory/policy risk.5) AI for Productivity (Enterprise Software) — Potential for performance transition independent of interest rate fluctuations.Risk Management:For overvalued AI areas (Generative AI apps, ad-based startups), recommend light topping up.Suggest positional adjustments around seasonal (pre- and post-interest rate events) periods.

Practical Timing Guide (7 Things to Do Right Now)

1) Secure Liquidity: Allocate 5–10% to short-term cash/MMFs.2) Rebalance Duration: Adjust portfolio duration to under 3 years (varies by holding).3) Secure Hedges: Acquire some options/gold futures for volatility preparation.4) Sector Allocation: Increase rotation to AI infrastructure/semiconductors, but manage valuations.5) Physical/Alternative Assets: Include some gold, commodities, infrastructure, and income-generating real estate.6) Emerging Market Selection: Focus on domestic demand-driven markets less affected by tariffs/exports.7) Monitoring Rules: Re-evaluate 48 hours before and after each FOMC, Jackson Hole, Supreme Court tariff ruling, and major credit rating announcement.

Investor’s “Biggest Mistake” When Policy Risks Materialize and Actions to Avoid

Biggest Mistake: Over-expanding positions based on “the expectation of a single rate cut.”Actions to Avoid: Bulk buying of long-dated securities (ignoring term premium), excessive use of leverage.Recommended Instead: Dollar-cost averaging, seasoned rebalancing, pre-emptive hedging.

Specific Points for Korean/Asian Investors

Essential to manage Won/Dollar exchange rate risk.In the Korean stock market, combine AI beneficiaries (semiconductors/software) with domestic demand/dividend stocks.When investing in overseas bonds, apply both duration and currency hedging considering long-term US Treasury risks.The Bank of Korea’s policy may also align with global trends (pivot), but the pace may differ.

< Summary >The division within the Fed and the potential for White House intervention increase short-term rate cut expectations but create structural risks of rising long-term Treasury yields.Treasury seizures (sharp increases in long-term yields) can recur when stablecoins, fiscal deficits, tariff rulings, and credit rating events converge.Investors must balance defense and growth with a portfolio focused on duration reduction, TIPS, gold, short-term cash, and AI infrastructure.Thoroughly implement dollar-cost averaging, hedging, and monitoring around events like Jackson Hole, FOMC, and Supreme Court rulings.

*Source: [ 경제 읽어주는 남자(김광석TV) ]

– [모아보기] 9월 금리인하는 확실한가? 연준은 왜 분열되었나? 파월의 선택은 어디로 흘러갈까

● Roblox’s AI Surge Creator Economy Boom, Regulatory Minefield, and Valuation Watch

The core points covered in this article are:

The impact of Roblox’s AI-powered creation tools and low-spec optimization, unveiled at RDC 2025, on the platform economy.Roblox’s creator economy’s actual revenue structure and the implications of changes to its currency exchange policy.The cost structure of child safety and regulatory risks, and their legal and tax ramifications that Wall Street often overlooks.The potential clash between AAA game/platform competition, the web ecosystem, and advertising revenue.Key valuation points from an investor’s perspective and practical risk management strategies.

Roblox’s Future: The Gallop and Shadow of the ‘Creation Economy’ Beyond Gaming

The Present (On-site at RDC 2025) — Key Facts and ImplicationsRoblox’s DAU reached 110 million in Q2 2025, a 41% increase year-over-year.Total engagement time rose to 27.4 billion hours, a 58% increase, demonstrating platform immersion.Revenue grew 21% to $1.08 billion, and creator payouts reached $1 billion in the last 12 months.The key revelations at RDC 2025 were AI-integrated creation tools, real-time translation, and low-spec optimization technologies.These technologies are poised to drastically accelerate creator productivity, leading to an explosive increase in content supply.From a metaverse and platform economy perspective, Roblox is rapidly transitioning into an ecosystem where ‘play is the economy.’

Core Growth Engine (Specific Mechanics)User-Generated Content (UGC) is the core driver of the supply side.The Robux-based payment and exchange structure provides a tangible income path for creators.An increase in the exchange payout rate this year is expected to inject an additional $95 million annually to creators.The platform is simultaneously expanding diverse revenue streams including transaction fees, advertising, and IP licensing.The creator economy operates on network effects, where one successful game can attract millions of users simultaneously.However, the platform’s profitability is sensitive to increased creator payouts and costs for monitoring and AI infrastructure.

AI and Technology Stack Evolution (Competitive Advantage and Costs)AI is not merely an aid but an ‘accelerator engine’ for creator productivity.Prompt-based asset generation, voice command creation, and real-time translation lower the barrier to entry.Low-spec device optimization is crucial for global growth, especially diffusion into emerging markets.However, operating large-scale models entails inference costs and latency management challenges.As AI-driven content creation increases, issues of copyright/IP conflicts and responsibility for synthetic content become more prominent.Furthermore, the accuracy of AI used for content monitoring (especially for child-related content) is not yet perfect.

Regulatory and Safety Risks (Areas Under-reported by Media)Lawsuits related to child protection simultaneously pressure brand trust and incur significant costs (settlements, legal fees, fines).Strengthening legal frameworks like COPPA (Children’s Online Privacy Protection Act) could directly impact user data collection and advertising policies.Robux’s cash conversion creates a large cross-border payment flow, making it highly susceptible to AML (Anti-Money Laundering) and KYC (Know Your Customer) regulations.Age verification (face-based age estimation) at the platform scale presents both accuracy limitations and privacy concerns.A critical point is the ‘exponential increase in monitoring costs.’This means that as users and content grow, the costs of AI and human review personnel will increase disproportionately, eroding operating profit margins.Tax issues also cannot be overlooked.Payments made to creators are subject to income and value-added tax regulations in various countries, complicating the platform’s settlement system.

Competitive Landscape and Market RisksThe emergence of AAA blockbusters like GTA 6 could temporarily siphon engagement time.However, Roblox’s strength lies in ‘short, repetitive, immersive experiences,’ limiting its direct substitutability with AAA titles.Differentiation from platform competitors like Fortnite, Minecraft, and Nintendo is essential.Changes in app store fees and payment policies (Apple/Google issues) could disrupt revenue structures.The potential integration with Web3 and blockchain-based item ownership presents both opportunities and regulatory risks.

Key Valuation Points from an Investor’s Perspective (What Wall Street Might Miss)DAU growth rate and Average Revenue Per DAU (ARPU) are key metrics.However, the real challenge is the platform’s ability to maintain margins against increasing creator expenditures (rewards).AI infrastructure and moderation labor costs can shift from fixed to variable costs, significantly impacting EBITDA.Short-term catalysts include the expansion of short-form content like Moments, advertising monetization, and global IP partnerships.The mid-to-long-term (3-5 years) value could significantly increase with the adoption of VR/AR devices.Risk scenarios include regulatory and litigation costs due to child safety incidents and creator exodus.

Short-Term (1-2 Years), Mid-Term (3-5 Years), and Long-Term (10 Years) OutlookShort-Term: The introduction of AI creation tools is likely to lead to a surge in content supply and further growth in DAU and engagement time.Short-term risks include lawsuits related to child safety and the emergence of some regulatory enhancements.Mid-Term: Advanced advertising models, expansion of short-form content like Moments, and global IP collaborations are likely to lead to revenue diversification.Concurrently, costs associated with moderation, taxes, and exchange regulations may become ongoing expenses.Long-Term: The proliferation of VR/AR devices combined with the maturation of the metaverse ecosystem will strengthen its position as a platform economy.However, failure to ensure ‘trust and safety’ could lead to a significant slowdown in growth.

Practical Strategy Recommendations (For Investors, Developers, and Regulators)Investors: Track DAU, ARPU, and creator payout rates quarterly, and incorporate moderation cost estimates into valuations.Developers/Creators: Adopt AI tools early to accelerate creation speed and secure IP and diverse monetization (advertising, subscriptions) channels.Regulators: Clarify guidelines for age verification and currency exchange, and realistically define platform responsibilities.

The Most Important Insight Under-reported by Other MediaRoblox’s fundamental risk lies in its structure where ‘user growth directly translates to increased costs.’Many reports emphasize only DAU and revenue growth, but in reality, moderation, AI infrastructure, tax, and legal expenses erode margins.Therefore, assuming user base expansion automatically leads to improved profitability is a misconception.Another crucial point is that the currency exchange (Robux to cash) structure effectively transforms the platform into a micro-payment system, directly linking it to financial regulations.This aspect is an ‘externality of scale’ that Wall Street analysts often miss.

Conclusion: Why Buy or SellRoblox is a compelling growth story at the intersection of the metaverse, gaming industry, and the creator economy.While short-term growth momentum and AI adoption are positive, regulatory/safety costs and the need for infrastructure investment are discount factors.From an investment perspective, a medium-term position with diversified risks is more rational than short-term momentum trading.From a developer’s perspective, leveraging AI tools now to gain an early advantage is crucial.

< Summary >Roblox is experiencing rapid growth by expanding its UGC-based platform economy and creator economy.The AI creation tools and low-spec optimization unveiled at RDC 2025 have significant potential to drive an explosion in content supply.Key risks include child safety, moderation costs, AML, and tax regulations, which can erode actual profitability.Investors must incorporate moderation and AI infrastructure costs into their valuations, alongside DAU and ARPU.Long-term value may increase through VR/AR, advertising, and IP partnerships, but growth will inevitably slow without trust.

*Source: [ Maeil Business Newspaper ]

– [실리콘밸리뷰] 로블록스가 그리는 미래, 이들의 성장은 지속될까

● Bubble Alert 5 Months to Crash – Signals, Strategy, Checklist

Bubble Alert in 5 Months — Why, Where, and How to Prepare (with a Practical Checklist)

Key Takeaways from this Article (Must-Know Points Before Reading)

Why “Bubble Signs” are forming within 5 months and critical clues that other news outlets often overlook.
Market sentiment and liquidity signals observed through the real-time gap between S&P 500 Mini Futures, /ES, and /NQ.
The sequence in which declines in consumer, retail, and payment stocks (Nike, Lululemon, Starbucks, Chipotle, PayPal, Square, etc.) spread to employment and credit card payment flows.
How to interpret the surge in small and mid-cap stocks and the “Rights Offering (Public Offering)” trigger — distinguishing between a positive sign and a trap.
Key price levels and response strategies for specific stocks (Tesla, Nvidia, Broadcom, Palantir, Netflix, NuScale, etc.).
Practical trading rules: Index-based, 50-day moving average, buy, stop-loss, and staggered buying rules.By reading this article with these points in mind, you can gain an understanding of the market risk (bubble) potential within 5 months, methods for early detection of its signals, and an immediately applicable checklist for managing your positions.

1) Key Signals by Time Sequence (Now → 1-2 Months → 3-5 Months)

Now (Short-term)

Real-time Indicators: Observe S&P 500 Mini Futures (TradingView/CME_MINI-ES1!), /ES, and /NQ levels in real-time.
Weakening Consumption Indicators: Decline in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, weakness in individual stocks related to retail, dining, and apparel (Nike, Lululemon, Starbucks, Chipotle).
Market Sentiment: Driven by liquidity (policy and liquidity supply expectations), leading to synchronized rises in tech and small/mid-cap stocks.

1-2 Months

Expansion of Small/Mid-Cap Stocks & Momentum Themes: Pumped-up surge stocks (often followed by rights offering announcements).
Potential Weakening of Payment & Credit Card Company Indicators: If transaction counts versus transaction values slow down, the market begins to bridge the gap between real consumption and stock market performance.
Confirmation of sustained rise centered on tech stocks and semiconductors (especially AI semiconductors). The price action of Nvidia and Broadcom will indicate the market’s “risk appetite.”

3-5 Months

Potential Bubble Development: When liquidity + psychological FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out → Overbought) + fundamental asymmetry accumulate, a significant correction can occur in a short period.
Scenario Branching: (A) Gradual correction if policy/interest rate easing leads to real economic improvement. (B) Rapid rebalancing (decline) if interest rate cut expectations signal a “weak economy.”

2) Most Important Content Not Discussed in Other News (Unique Insight)

“Rights Offerings” are a typical phenomenon in a bull market.
- Most companies choose this strategy to raise funds faster and utilize them for growth or defense when buyer sentiment is strong.
- Therefore, a rights offering is not an immediate signal of stock collapse; it requires interpretation based on “timing and liquidity background.”
The combination of specific index levels (6,150 / 6,100 by the author) and the 50-day moving average is crucial.
- A single decline signal is merely a “warning”; only when it accumulates with the 50-day moving average and key support levels breaking can it be interpreted as a “trend reversal.”
The trend of consumer and payment stocks serves as a leading indicator.
- Even if large-cap tech giants remain strong, if retail and payment stocks collapse first, carefully consider the path of diffusion into employment and the real economy.
The “discrepancy between the stock market and the real economy” is temporary, but it is the primary fuel for bubble formation.
- Stocks rise due to liquidity, policy, and sentiment, but if the real economy (employment, consumption) is weak, a significant correction can occur at some point.

3) Index & Macro Checklist (Practical Trading Signals)

Key Monitors: S&P 500 Mini Futures, /ES, /NQ (Timeframes: 5-min / 1-hour / Daily).
Essential Levels: 6,150 / 6,100 (key index support by the author), 50-day moving average (for the respective index).
Signal Interpretation:
- Index consistently trading below the 50-day moving average → Consider reducing neutral to aggressive positions.
- Concurrent weakening of consumption indicators (Michigan, retail sales) and payment data → Strengthen defensive posture.
Interest Rate (Interest Rate Cut Expectations) Interpretation:
- Distinguish whether interest rate cuts signal “economic recovery” or “easing expectations driven by economic weakening.”
- The former suggests a gradual rise; the latter indicates higher volatility and potential for rebalancing.

4) Sector-Specific & Stock-Specific Practical Position Guide (Organized by Order of Impact)

Consumer & Retail (Leading Indicators)
- Watchlist: Nike, Lululemon, Starbucks, Chipotle, Costco.
- Significance: Weakness in retail, dining, and apparel → Confirmation of consumption slowdown → Spillover to credit card payments and employment.
- Response: Wait for signs of a reliable rebound in the sector (concurrent recovery across peers) before entering larger positions.
Payments & FinTech
- Examples: PayPal, Square (or Block).
- Significance: A decrease in payment volume is a direct signal of a slowdown in real consumption.
- Response: If payment data declines, review related financial and consumer stocks and increase defensive weighting.
AI & Semiconductors (Market Focus)
- Key: The price action of Nvidia and Broadcom is a barometer of risk appetite.
- Response: If Nvidia continues its rapid ascent, consider it “sector overheating”; conversely, a sharp decline signals a tech-wide risk-off.
- Buy Points (Practical Levels Mentioned by Author): Broadcom buy range 355-350 (staggered/planned entry recommended).
Small & Mid-Cap / Momentum Stocks (High Risk)
- Examples: NuScale (rights offering), BMNR, IONQ, BMR, Figma, etc.
- Significance: Simultaneous and consecutive surges in small and mid-caps are common in the early stages of a bubble.
- Rights Offering Interpretation: Stocks that rise rapidly raise capital through rights offerings → Short-term dilution vs. long-term funding.
- Response: Reduce positions or hold partially before and after rights offering announcements. Always verify the use of funds and cash flow from rights offerings.
Individual Stocks (Summary of Author’s Practical Levels)
- Tesla (TSLA): Important to break above 370 and hold above 400.
- IONQ (or IQ): Resistance at 45 → Check for a break above 60. Defend around 50.
- Palantir: Note resistance at 149; check if it holds above 170.
- Netflix: Needs a full recovery above 1220 (considering its consumer stock nature).
- Broadcom: Strong trend; consider staggered entry only in the 355-350 range.
- Figma (example stock): Rebound to 50 → Must clearly break resistance at 56 for confidence to return.
- AMD (mentioned in video): Needs to break above the resistance box of 158 → 180-185.

5) Portfolio & Risk Management Rules (Practical Checklist)

Position Sizing: Limit high-volatility/small-cap stocks to within 5-10% of the total portfolio.
Staggered Buying & Selling: Do not sell entire positions during rapid surges; realize profits in stages.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss level (%) for each purchase. Increase defensive weighting if the index breaks below the 50-day moving average.
Hedging: Prepare for volatility with options and cash reserves. S&P 500 Mini Futures are for sentiment judgment; hedging requires a separate plan.
Mental Rules: Do not spread panic based on a single decline signal (act only after confirming cumulative signals and indicators).

6) Practical Alarm & Monitoring Tool Guide

Real-time Charts: TradingView (CME_MINI-ES1!), MarketWatch futures (ES00), TD’s /ES /NQ, Robinhood real-time check.
Alarm Settings: Key S&P 500 levels (6,150 / 6,100), key support/resistance for individual stocks (see table above), dates for rights offerings/earnings/payment data releases.
Live Monitoring: On the day of important news/economic data releases (employment, consumption data, FOMC minutes), monitor live and formulate plans.

7) Recommended 5-Step Response Strategy for Retail Investors (Bubble Scenario Response)

1) Information Alignment: Prioritize checking real-time futures (ES/NQ), consumption indicators, and payment data.2) Position Reduction: Immediately partially liquidate from overheated small/mid-cap sectors (reduce by 20-30%).3) Defensive Allocation: Slightly increase weighting in cash, bonds, and defensive sectors (utilities, healthcare).4) Re-entry Rules: Re-enter in stages after confirming index and 50-day moving average support.5) Opportunity Seizing: After a correction, seek long-term buying opportunities in fundamentally sound large-cap tech, AI, and semiconductor stocks.

8) Practical Tip — “Why 5 Months?” and Practical Interpretation of Evidence

5 months is based on observed reliable cyclical patterns (average propagation time from consumption weakening → payment volume decrease → employment slowdown → incorporation into corporate earnings).
Bubble formation and collapse do not happen instantly; cumulative imbalances in sentiment, liquidity, and the real economy are likely to yield results within 3-6 months.
Therefore, 5 months serves as a “period of caution” and provides a timing for practical plan development.

9) Disclaimer (Important)

This article is not investment advice but a sharing of information and strategic perspectives.
All investment decisions are your own responsibility, and always implement risk management (stop-loss, position sizing) when changing positions.
The market is highly unpredictable, so flexible responses to different scenarios are crucial.

< Summary >

The current market is experiencing rapid surges centered on small/mid-caps, AI, and semiconductors, driven by liquidity and sentiment. If weakening consumption and payment indicators accumulate, a significant correction (bubble burst) could occur within 3-5 months.
Real-time monitors: S&P 500 Mini Futures, /ES, /NQ, consumption indicators, and credit card payment data are key signals.
The occurrence of rights offerings is not simply bad news but should be interpreted as “market timing.”
Practical rules: Strictly adhere to staggered buying, staggered selling, and stop-loss settings based on the index’s 50-day moving average, key support levels (e.g., 6,150/6,100), and individual stock key levels.
Treat the next 5 months as a “period of vigilance” and enhance position management, alarms, and risk controls.

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*Source: [ 미국주식은 훌륭하다-미국주식대장 ]

– 딱! 5개월. 버블이 올 것 같습니다. 영상 꼭 보세요. 오픈도어 네비우스 테슬라 브로드컴 엔비디아 팔란티어 넷플릭스 BMNR IONQ