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2025 Deepseek Controversy and Global Financial Market Volatility Analysis

Impact of the Deepseek Controversy on the Market

The Chinese AI startup 'Deepseek' is causing a major shock in the global market. Deepseek has announced the development of an effective language model at a low cost, which is having a significant impact on investors and businesses and is rapidly increasing volatility in the financial market.

1. Emergence of Deepseek and Market Reaction

• Deepseek has signaled a paradigm shift in the AI market with its low-cost AI models.
• As a result, investors have panicked, worried that "Chinese technology may be surpassing the US."
• In particular, semiconductor and AI-related stocks are experiencing sharp declines and market corrections.

2. Nasdaq and Financial Market Plunge

• The US Nasdaq futures index fell by over -5%.
• The VIX index, which indicates market volatility, rose by 35%, signaling a risk alert.
• Trading volume is increasing, and the market's risk aversion is strengthening.

3. A New Phase in the US-China Power Struggle

• The Deepseek situation has increased the likelihood of an accelerated technology war between the US and China.
• Concerns are growing about China's manufacturing competitiveness and the growth of AI technology, which could have long-term effects on the global market.
• The US is also likely to respond, which could trigger additional market shocks.

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Worst-Case Scenarios Feared by Investors

1. China's Technological Dominance vs. Collapse of the US AI Bubble

• A scenario of "China's victory, America's downfall" is spreading among investors.
• Some analysts fear that this situation could be a sign of the end of the bull market in 2025.

2. Hedge Funds and Position Management

• In 2025, hedge funds are adjusting their positions with a risk-averse attitude.
• Some funds with a low weighting in big tech stocks may be in a favorable position.

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Response Strategies: What to Do Next?

1. Check Your Investment Situation

• If high leverage: Conservative position is necessary as current volatility can further increase risk.
• If high cash position: Opportunities to explore buying during market corrections are available.

2. Market Calendar Check

• It is necessary to pay attention to the earnings announcements of Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla this week.
• Each company's CEO may mention the Deepseek situation, which will affect investor sentiment.
• The FOMC meeting results scheduled for early Thursday morning are also expected to be an important market variable.

3. Anticipated US and China Responses

• The Deepseek controversy is likely just the beginning, and the US will develop countermeasures.
• Additional competition and the tech war can continue to deepen financial market volatility.

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< Summary >

The emergence of Deepseek is causing significant volatility in the global financial market, leading to a decline in semiconductor and AI-related stocks. The US-China power struggle has entered a new phase, and investors need risk management and portfolio reviews. Earnings announcements and the FOMC meeting results are expected to be important variables.

[More…]

1. Breakthrough in China's AI Hegemony: Focusing on Deepseek
2. Outlook on the Tech Cold War Between the US and China

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