Tesla’s Plummet: Tariffs & Sales Slump





Latest Trends in the US Stock Market and Analysis of Tesla, Nvidia, Apple, and Bitcoin

Impact of Trump's Steel and Aluminum Tariffs

Former President Trump's official announcement of imposing a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum products has raised concerns about a global trade war.
This caused mixed results in the US's three major indices, with Tesla (TSLA) in particular falling more than 6%, marking its fifth consecutive decline.

Reasons for Tesla's Stock Price Plunge

  1. Elon Musk's Attempt to Acquire OpenAI

    • Musk proposed acquiring OpenAI, but CEO Sam Altman rejected it.
    • Musk publicly criticized Altman as a 'scammer,' escalating the controversy.
    • Investors are concerned that Musk may sell Tesla shares to raise funds, similar to his acquisition of Twitter (now X), leading to a stock price drop.
  2. Impact of Steel and Aluminum Tariffs

    • The imposition of tariffs is expected to increase Tesla's production costs.
    • Rising electric vehicle production costs may increase margin pressure.
  3. Decline in Sales in China and Europe

  • News of declining sales in China and Europe last month had an additional negative impact on the stock price.
  • Chinese electric vehicle company BYD is aggressively competing on price, expanding its market share.
  • Tesla is struggling in the Chinese market due to issues with FSD (Full Self-Driving) approval.
  1. Breakdown of Technical Support Line
    • Tesla's stock price fell below the $330 support line, raising the possibility of further declines.
    • Investor sentiment has weakened, making it difficult for the stock price to rebound.

US CPI Announcement and Fed Chairman Powell's Remarks

  1. Expected CPI Announcement

    • The expected January Consumer Price Index (CPI) is projected to increase by 2.9% year-over-year and 0.3% month-over-month.
    • If inflation is higher than expected, expectations for a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut may weaken.
  2. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's Testimony

    • He mentioned that the US economy continues to show strong growth and that there is no need to rush to cut the benchmark interest rate.
    • With inflation exceeding the 2% target, a rate freeze is likely in the near term.
    • The market is expected to closely monitor the Fed's monetary policy direction after the CPI announcement.

Analysis of Major Stock Items

1. Tesla (TSLA)

  • Fell to $328, breaking the $330 support line.
  • Further news regarding Musk's OpenAI acquisition and sales strategies in the Chinese market are expected to affect the stock price in the future.

2. Nvidia (NVDA)

  • Rose 15% in the past five days, but closed slightly down at $132 that day.
  • Has an overwhelming position in the AI semiconductor market, with potential for continued growth in the future.
  • If Nvidia's stock price undergoes a short-term correction, it is likely to be a buying opportunity.

3. Apple (AAPL)

  • Announced plans to collaborate with Alibaba to incorporate AI features into iPhones in China.
  • As a result, the stock price rose to $232, showing a rebound.
  • In the long term, Apple's adoption of AI technology is expected to positively affect the stock price.

4. Palantir (PLTR)

  • Rapidly emerging as a beneficiary of the AI revolution, with its stock price rising 500% in one year.
  • However, it is currently overbought, with the possibility of a short-term correction.
  • While Wall Street is raising its target stock price, some institutions are raising concerns about overvaluation.
  1. Bitcoin (BTC)

    • Moving around $96,000, forming a box pattern in the short term.
    • Briefly fell to $94,000 after the steel and aluminum tariffs were imposed.
    • Long-term bullish outlook as a store of value is maintained.
  2. Other Cryptocurrency Related News

    • Kin Meme coin Lattice Semi rose 7.7% after reporting better-than-expected earnings.
    • Energy storage company Fluence Energy reported a larger-than-expected loss, causing its stock price to plummet 46%.

Future Stock Market Outlook and Investment Strategy

  1. Basic Stock Market Scenario

    • Despite the economic slowdown, continued growth in corporate profits is likely to sustain the stock market's rise.
    • Improved corporate performance is expected in 2025, which will provide momentum for the stock market's rise.
  2. Potential for Short-Term Adjustments

    • The Nasdaq has undergone a -3% adjustment in the past two weeks but has largely remained at the same level.
    • If market uncertainty is alleviated, it is likely to rebound.
  3. Focus on AI and Semiconductor Sectors

  • The growth potential of AI-related companies such as Nvidia and Palantir is high, making long-term investment promising.
  • Although there may be short-term overheating adjustments, the AI sector is expected to continue its strong growth.

< Summary >

  • Trump's announcement of steel and aluminum tariffs has spread fears of a global trade war.
  • Tesla fell 6% due to Musk's attempt to acquire OpenAI and sluggish sales in China.
  • The January CPI announcement and Fed Chairman Powell's remarks are major variables that will determine market direction.
  • Nvidia continues its strong performance in AI semiconductors, while Apple rose following the announcement of AI cooperation with Alibaba.
  • Bitcoin is forming a box pattern at $96,000, maintaining a long-term bullish outlook.
  • The stock market generally maintains a bullish trend, with the AI and semiconductor sectors requiring continuous attention.

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 Latest Trends in the US Stock Market and Analysis of Tesla, Nvidia, Apple, and Bitcoin Impact of Trump's Steel and Aluminum Tariffs Former President Trump's official announcement of imposing a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum products has raised concerns about a global trade war.This caused mixed results in the US's three major indices,…

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