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Tesla & Palantir Surge: Inflation Impact?

February 13, 2025

Today’s Brief

Billy Yang

U.S. Stock Market Analysis: CPI Increase and Interest Rate Cut Outlook

1. Consumer Price Index (CPI) Increase and Inflation Concerns

January U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3% year-over-year.
Re-entered the 3% range in 7 months due to rising energy prices.
Core CPI, excluding volatile energy, rose 3.3%.
Higher-than-expected inflation indicators reduce the possibility of a Fed rate cut.

2. Reduced Interest Rate Cut Outlook

The market assesses that the Fed is more likely to delay interest rate cuts further.
The possibility of freezing interest rates in the first half of the year is 67.2%, and the possibility of cutting interest rates within the year is 40%.
Market volatility increases as expectations for interest rate cuts decrease.

3. Tesla Stock Rebound and Key Reasons

Tesla stock rebounded in 6 trading days, rising to $346.
Recovering the $330 support line is an important point.
Stock price, which had recently fallen by more than 16%, rebounded due to the inflow of bargain hunting.
Concerns about Tesla CEO Elon Musk's concentration on corporate operations continue.
Chinese electric vehicle company (BYD) intensifies competition with Tesla by strengthening autonomous driving technology.

4. Palantir (PLTR) Stock Price Surge

Rose 4% due to strong performance, recording $117.
Revenue increased 36% year-over-year, exceeding expectations for 18 consecutive quarters.
Stock rally continues, increasing investment interest in AI and big data.

5. Meta (META) Stock Price Continued Rise

Surged for 18 consecutive days, renewing the longest increase in Nasdaq history.
Success in the AI business and Trump-friendly moves are positive factors.
Announced investment of up to $65 billion in AI infrastructure construction.

6. Nasdaq Index Volatility

Maintained near record high after rebounding from initial decline.
Corporate performance exceeds expectations, maintaining market confidence.
AI, semiconductors and major theme stocks continue to be strong.

7. Nvidia (NVDA) and Semiconductor Industry Trends

Nvidia's stock price fell in the short term but still has a strong growth outlook.
Broadcom and Micron Technology are strong amid moves for semiconductor independence.
Increased demand for data centers and AI chips.

8. Bitcoin (BTC) Market Changes

Maintaining the $97,000 line, exploring direction.
Legislation is being promoted in 15 U.S. states to recognize Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset.
The Trump administration's Bitcoin policy has a positive impact on the market.

9. Individual Stock Trends

Baidu: Rose 4% after announcing AI model-related news.
Micron: Fell 3% due to semiconductor issues.
Kraft Heinz: Fell 3% due to decreased sales.
Mercury General: Surged 99% due to earnings surprise.
Super Micro Computer: Rose 3% despite a decline in revenue outlook.

< Summary >

U.S. CPI increase increases inflation concerns and lowers the possibility of a Fed rate cut.
Tesla stock rebounds, but competition with Chinese electric vehicle companies intensifies.
Palantir and Meta stock prices surge, AI and data-related companies are strong.
Nasdaq index maintains upward trend, major IT and semiconductor companies announce strong earnings.
Bitcoin maintains $97,000, recognized as a strategic asset in some U.S. states.
While major corporate earnings exceed market expectations, some companies show volatility and stock price adjustments.

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U.S. Stock Market Analysis: CPI Increase and Interest Rate Cut Outlook 1. Consumer Price Index (CPI) Increase and Inflation Concerns January U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3% year-over-year. Re-entered the 3% range in 7 months due to rising energy prices. Core CPI, excluding volatile energy, rose 3.3%. Higher-than-expected inflation indicators reduce the possibility…