U.S. Stock Market Update and Key Stock Trends
1. U.S. Stock Market Overview
– January Producer Price Index (PPI) Announcement
- PPI (Producer Price Index): Increased by 0.4% compared to the previous month, and 3.5% compared to the previous year.
- Exceeded market expectations (0.3%, 3.4%).
- Core PPI (excluding food and energy): Increased by 0.3% compared to the previous month, and 3.6% compared to the previous year (met market expectations).
– Inflation and Fed Outlook
- Expected to reflect Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index → Outlook on the impact on Fed interest rate policy.
- Market reaction: Inflationary pressure was higher than expected, but a decline in some items was confirmed.
2. Individual Stock Analysis
– Tesla (TSLA)
- Stock price surged (increased by over 5%, surpassing $355)
- Tesla stock price trend:
- 11th: Closed at $328 → Subsequent rebound started
- Yesterday, rose 2.4%, today started at $345 and increased its gains
- Reasons for the increase:
- Elon Musk may exert influence on government deregulation
- Poor performance of Chinese electric vehicle company (BYD)
- Recovery of expectations for interest rate cuts
- Investment Institution Outlook:
- Wedbush Target Price: $550
- Morgan Stanley Target Price: $330
- Short-term causes of decline:
- Concerns about Tesla CEO Musk's distraction of management focus
- Decline in electric vehicle sales in China and Europe
- Increased vehicle production costs due to the Trump administration's tariffs on steel and aluminum
- Downgrade of first-quarter electric vehicle delivery forecast
– Palantir (PLTR)
- Record high reached, strong upward trend continues
- Investment Institution Evaluation:
- Among 23 analysts, 4 buy ratings, majority hold opinions → Still conservative evaluation
- Long-term outlook:
- Strong institutional buying
- Reflecting continuous earnings growth
- Current Stock Status:
- Upward trend continues, but entered overbought territory → Need for cautious buying
– Nvidia (NVDA)
- Stock price increased by over 3%, recorded $135
- Rebound from recent low ($113)
- Reasons for the increase:
- Increased AI infrastructure investment by large tech companies (AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN)
- Expected 40% increase in corporate AI infrastructure investment in 2024
- Launch of the latest AI chip (GPU) 'Blackwell A100'
- Future prospects:
- Rebound pattern after decline → Strong AI theme continues
– Bitcoin (BTC) & Coinbase (COIN)
- Bitcoin: Maintained $96,000, rose to $98,000 due to Fed remarks and then adjusted
- U.S. government adoption of Bitcoin issue → Potential market positive
- Coinbase:
- $4.68 earnings per share (exceeding market expectations of $1.81) → Continued increase in stock price
- Robinhood (HOOD): Up 14%, reported $1 billion in revenue
– S&P 500 (SPX)
- Approaching record high (up 1%)
- Continued rise despite overvaluation controversy (22x P/E ratio)
3. Other Major Corporate Performance
– Rising Companies
- Lamb Weston (LW): Exceeded earnings expectations → Stock price surged 24%
- MGM Resorts (MGM): $4.3 billion in revenue → Up 17%
- Dutch Bros (BROS): Exceeded market expectations → Stock price up 30%
– Declining Companies
- The Trade Desk (TTD): Poor performance → Plunged 33%
- Radian Group (RDN): Fell short of expectations → Down 5.3%
< Summary >
✅ U.S. stock market rose despite higher-than-expected inflation indicators
✅ Tesla rebounded more than 5%, and institutions still maintain a positive outlook
✅ Palantir, Nvidia, and Coinbase all continued to rise with strong earnings growth
✅ Bitcoin maintains $96,000, attention to changes in the U.S. government's virtual asset policy
✅ S&P 500 is approaching a record high, possibility of continued bull market
[More…]
🔗 Tesla Stock Price Forecast
🔗 Bitcoin Rising Factors
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