● Urgent: Market Bloodbath or Buying Opportunity?
Today’s US Stock Market Status and Tariff Issue Analysis
The US stock market showed significant volatility from this morning until the end of the session.
In the market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.57%, the S&P 500 decreased by 1.29%, and the Nasdaq fell by about 0.55%.
Looking at the hourly trend, fear was prevalent in the morning, followed by a rebound in the middle, and a decline again towards the end of the session.
Overall Market and Hourly Trends
In the morning, fear gripped the market, causing bond yields and volatility indices to surge.
The VIX index temporarily rose to 26 before recovering to 22 at the market close, indicating investors’ sensitivity to volatility.
The market rebounded somewhat in the middle of the session but declined again ahead of President Trump’s speech.
Tariff Policies and Economic Instability
President Trump’s tariff increases on Canada and China have added to economic uncertainty.
News broke that tariffs on Canada increased to 25% and on China from 20% to 30%.
In response, Canada, Mexico, and China are taking countermeasures, raising concerns about economic instability and stagflation in the US.
According to experts, there is a possibility of simultaneous short-term inflation and economic recession, leading investors to adopt a cautious approach.
Detailed Sector and Corporate Performance
Technology stocks, especially big tech, showed a rebound as they are relatively less affected by tariffs.
Major tech companies such as Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, and Google partially rebounded, driving the market.
On the other hand, the automotive and manufacturing sectors showed declines due to tariff burdens and rising overseas production costs.
Tesla’s stock temporarily fell due to poor wholesale sales and production line changes but later showed defense and rebound.
Additionally, retail sales trends and earnings announcements indicate that Target and Best Buy are also under pressure due to tariff burdens.
Bonds, Currencies, and Other Financial Indicators
Due to the sharp fluctuations in the stock market, funds flowed into safe-haven assets like bonds, causing bond yields to fluctuate significantly.
The 10-year Treasury yield slightly increased, but overall, long-term bond prices are declining.
The dollar’s value also depreciated against other major currencies due to economic uncertainty, providing a relatively favorable environment for multinational corporations.
The commodities market, including gold and oil prices, showed alternating rebounds and declines, indicating the instability of the overall financial market.
Future Outlook and Investment Strategy Recommendations
Attention is focused on upcoming economic indicator releases (ADP employment, ISM Services PMI, unemployment rate, etc.).
Tariff increases and the resulting global economic instability are likely to put pressure on the stock market in the short term.
However, it is necessary to diversify risks through positive factors related to technology stocks and the US economy, as well as diversification of investment strategies.
In the short term, consider a buy-on-dip strategy during stock price declines and pay attention to interest rates and the recovery of the US economy.
Across the market, keywords related to economic outlook, stock market, investment strategy, US economy, and interest rates should be closely monitored.
Today, the US stock market showed volatility with fear in the morning, a rebound in the middle, and a decline at the end of the session.
News of tariff increases raised concerns about domestic and international economic instability and stagflation, while technology stocks showed relative strength.
Direct impacts are also appearing in the bond and commodity markets, and the market outlook is expected to change depending on future major economic indicator announcements.
Therefore, attention should be paid to the US economy, stock market, and interest rate fluctuations when establishing economic outlook and investment strategies.
[Related Articles…
Stock Market Trend Analysis,
Impact of Tariff Policies]
*Source : [반교수(ProfHalf)의 미국 투자 스토리 (미투리)] 미국주식시황/오늘 왜 떨어졌나? 엔비디아 반등! 테슬라 하락반등! 왜? 구글 애플 아마존 메타 마이크로소프트 팔란티어 아이온큐 리게티 SMCI LLY 노보등 $tsla #tesla
● Zelensky Partial Ceasefire Proposal Ignites White House Controversy
Analysis of the Impact of the U.S. Military Aid Suspension and President Zelenskyy’s Diplomatic Strategy on the Economy
U.S. Military Aid Suspension and President Zelenskyy’s Response
With the U.S. decision to suspend military aid to Ukraine,
President Zelenskyy seems to have taken a step back, reviewing partial tactics in the air and at sea.
At the same time, he expressed regret over a summit with President Trump.
This move comes amidst tensions both within and outside the U.S. following the recent White House debate.
President Zelenskyy’s Attempts at Reconciliation and Proposed Contents
President Zelenskyy is showing active attempts at reconciliation with the U.S.
Amid pressure to apologize regarding the White House debate on the 28th of last month,
he presented a partial proposal for prisoner release.
This proposal aligns with strategic measures, subject to Russia’s agreement, including attacks on missiles and long-range energy civilian infrastructure.
Additionally, he expressed gratitude to the U.S. and signaled his willingness to sign a mineral agreement.
Diplomatic and Economic Dynamics within the U.S. and Europe
Prior to the news of the U.S. military aid suspension, the Ukrainian Prime Minister made it clear in a press conference
that they would not give up cooperation with the U.S.
Russia, on the other hand, welcomed the decision, saying it would be the best gear for peace.
European countries are also exploring ways to seize over 200 million euros in frozen Russian assets to support Ukraine.
This situation is noteworthy as it can affect various areas such as the U.S. economy, the global economy, trade, investment, and finance.
Correlation and Prospects of Economy and Diplomacy
Today’s international economic situation is sensitive to changes in foreign policy, such as the suspension of military aid.
Tensions between the U.S. and Ukraine have a direct and indirect impact on investment and financial markets.
Asset seizure and sanctions measures being pursued in Europe can also bring volatility to trade and investment flows.
Going forward, it is important to closely monitor how diplomatic negotiations and economic strategies between the two sides will be coordinated for the stability of the U.S. economy and the global economy.
< Summary >
Overall Summary
With the U.S. decision to suspend military aid to Ukraine, President Zelenskyy is attempting diplomatic reconciliation with the U.S. by reviewing air and sea tactics and presenting a partial proposal for prisoner release.
At the same time, considering the political tensions within and outside the U.S. and the impact on the international economy as a whole (U.S. economy, global economy, trade, investment, finance),
European countries are also exploring ways to seize assets.
These trends demonstrate the interrelationship between global foreign policy changes and economic conditions.
[Related Articles…]
Ukraine Military Aid Analysis
U.S. Foreign Policy Review
*Source : [SBS 뉴스] 젤렌스키 ‘부분 휴전’ 제안…”백악관 논쟁은 유감” / SBS
● Ukraine Ready for Peace Talks NOW
Analysis of Ukraine’s Willingness to Return to Negotiations and the Background of the US Military Aid Suspension
1. Expression of Ukraine’s President’s Willingness to Negotiate
The Ukrainian President stated that he is ready to return to the negotiating table “to end the war early.”
In his recent remarks, the President expressed gratitude for US support but also expressed regret over the Oval Office incident last week.
These remarks are noteworthy as a new diplomatic attempt to end the war between Ukraine and Russia.
2. US Strategic Shift and Temporary Suspension of Military Aid
Recently, the United States has signaled a major policy change by temporarily suspending billions of dollars in military aid to Ukraine.
Vice President JD Vance made it clear that Ukraine should be a sovereign and independent nation and that the war can no longer be sustained indefinitely.
This suspension of military aid could affect international politics and the global economy, along with the strategic shift of the United States.
3. Internal Voices and Diplomatic Concerns
Within the United States, the decision to suspend aid to Ukraine is raising concerns.
Experts emphasize that Ukraine should actively participate in government-level, non-public negotiations for a peaceful settlement.
Unlike the President’s public remarks, non-public diplomatic efforts have been insufficient so far, which is likely to emerge as another diplomatic issue in the future.
Also, the fact that the President did not explicitly apologize at the meeting last Friday is also a target of criticism.
4. Future Prospects and Impact on International Politics and the Global Economy
These issues are expected to be highlighted again in tonight’s Joint Congressional Address, and policy changes in Ukraine and the United States are expected to directly and indirectly affect the international political order and the latest economic outlook.
Uncertainties in the global economy and the latest economic outlook, the impact of the war, changes in US policy, and the international political landscape are likely to interact in complex ways.
Accordingly, those interested in the world economic outlook need to carefully examine the aftermath of this incident.
The Ukrainian President emphasized his willingness to return to the negotiating table to end the war, and the United States announced a new diplomatic strategy by temporarily suspending military aid to Ukraine.
Internal experts point out the need for Ukraine’s participation in non-public negotiations and the President’s apology, paying attention to the impact on international politics, the global economy, and the latest economic outlook.
[Related Articles…]
Summary of Ukraine Negotiation Progress
Analysis of US Military Aid Suspension
*Source : [MSNBC] Zelenskyy: Ukraine is ready to negotiate peace with Russia as soon as possible
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