● Trump Family’s Secret Accumulation
Changes in World Order and the Reality of the U.S. Economic Crisis: Real Issues Beyond Tariffs
1. Ray Dalio’s Change World Order Model
There is a history of the U.S. economy divided into six stages, from the moment a new order begins to prosperity, excessive debt, crisis, collapse of order, and the emergence of a new order again.
This model analyzes the patterns of the U.S. economy from the Roaring Twenties, which began with the U.S. adopting the gold standard after World War I, to World War II, the Bretton Woods system, the Nixon Shock, the oil shock, and the 2008 financial crisis.
Here, the tariff issue is not a simple issue but only a part of the U.S.’s huge systemic crisis and solutions.
It provides a specific explanation of why the U.S. economy has experienced this crisis and how it has responded to maintain its hegemony, examining the macroeconomic flows of the global economy and global prospects.
It deals with complex issues such as debt accumulation, dollar policy, and the introduction of stablecoins, not limited to the tariff controversy of the Trump era.
It explains the transition of gold policies, the establishment of the dollar as the key currency, and the financial innovations created by the stablecoins that are currently being proposed in connection with overcoming the economic crisis.
2. Historical Flow and Major Events by Stage
• Stage 1: Creation of a New Order
– Start of a new world order after the end of World War I
– Introduction of the gold standard and entry into the Roaring Twenties
• Stage 2: Era of Prosperity
– Rapid growth of the U.S. economy, everyone enjoys the boom
– However, debt begins to increase slowly at the same time
• Stage 3: Intensification of Excessive Debt and Imbalance
– The stock market crash in 1929 and the arrival of the Great Depression
– Surge in unemployment and interest rates, increasing the overall economic crisis
• Stage 4: Decisive Crisis and Chaos
– Deepening of the Great Depression and the emergence of several bank bankruptcy cases
– The U.S. begins a drastic policy transformation to maintain the existing order
• Stage 5: Collapse and Reorganization of the Existing Order
– Rise in gold prices, decline in dollar value, and search for a new order
– Emergence of World War II and the Bretton Woods system
• Stage 6: Introduction of a New Order
– Establishment of the dollar as the key currency and re-establishment of U.S. hegemony
– Implementation of petrodollar and Eurodollar strategies beyond the Nixon Shock and oil shock
3. Modern U.S. Economy and Discussions on the Introduction of Stablecoins
Recently, the Trump administration has mentioned domestic and foreign economic crises while raising tariff issues.
However, tariffs are only a part of the debt problem of the U.S. economy as a whole and changes in the global trade order.
Currently, the U.S. is facing the problem of debt accumulation through indiscriminate issuance of dollars and dollar recovery from the outside.
In response, stablecoins, that is, the concept of synthetic dollars, are attracting attention.
Synthetic through stablecoins, stable sandwiches, and payment rail policies are gaining popularity as safe means of transaction instead of dollars in South America, etc.
This movement can ultimately be interpreted as a means of the U.S.’s will to maintain its global financial hegemony.
Considering the global outlook and the future of the U.S. economy, the expansion of stablecoins and the crypto world is likely to play an important role in the future hegemonic competition rather than tariff measures.
4. U.S. Economic Crisis Breakthrough Strategy and Future Prospects
The U.S. has historically overcome several crisis situations and created a new order.
The U.S. has shifted its dollar and gold policies through the Great Depression after the boom in the 1920s, World War II and the Bretton Woods system, the Nixon Shock, and the oil shock.
The unlimited quantitative easing policy taken after the recent subprime crisis can also be understood in this context.
The measures of the Trump era can be seen as one of the attempts to solve the U.S.’s debt problem and global trade imbalances.
In the future, the U.S. is likely to implement a new hegemonic strategy based on the introduction of stablecoins and the expansion of the crypto world,
These changes are expected to have a profound impact not only on the future of the U.S. economy but also on the global economic system.
It is necessary to pay attention to the essence of the economic crisis and the U.S. strategy beyond the tariff issue.
Summary
According to the Change World Order model presented by Ray Dalio, the U.S. economy has gone through six stages: creation of a new order, prosperity, debt accumulation, crisis, collapse of order, and reorganization.
The U.S. established the dollar as the key currency while going through the Roaring Twenties, the Great Depression, World War II, the Bretton Woods system, and the Nixon Shock.
Recently, the Trump administration has raised the issue of tariffs, but this is only a part of the overall debt problem and hegemonic competition of the U.S. economy.
In the future, the U.S. is likely to implement a new hegemonic strategy through the expansion of stablecoins and the crypto world, which will have a significant impact on the world economy and global prospects.
Key words: world economy, global outlook, U.S. economy, Trump, tariff
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● Stock Trading Halt- Press Here!
Stock Order Failures & Compensation Response Methods – Latest Global Economic Issues
1. Status and Problems of Stock Order Failures
Frequent MTS/HTS order failures at securities firms.
In particular, Kiwoom Securities’ computer system failures have resulted in accumulated compensation of KRW 21.5 billion over 7 years.
Customers experience inconvenience due to orders not going through during stock trading.
This leads to securities compensation issues along with a decline in the global competitiveness of the economic system.
2. Basic Response Methods in Case of Failure
It is essential to record everything from the moment you attempt to place an order using the capture function.
You should record not only screen captures but also videos (ensuring audio is captured).
Always attempt to connect by phone for emergency orders.
Keep a detailed log of order details, time, order type, quantity, and price.
3. Compensation Application and Processing Procedure
In case of online order failure, check the compensation standards specified on the customer center and the securities company’s website.
Compensation is not possible without records of emergency orders, so you must prove the order attempt itself.
Compensation is made for order non-execution and execution delays within the maximum compensation limit set by each securities company.
You must adhere to the application deadline, such as April 11, and submit a complaint after leaving a record at the customer center and branch.
4. Analysis of Precedents and Real-World Cases
In a Seoul Central District Court precedent, the compensation amount for order non-execution due to computer system failure is determined based on the average price.
While sell orders are easy to prove, buy orders are difficult to compensate if the order record itself is insufficient.
In actual cases, compensation is made based on the average price of the day, not the highest price.
As such, it is important to familiarize yourself with the compensation policies and precedents of securities companies in advance.
5. Additional Tips and Precautions
Do not panic when a stock order failure occurs, and immediately start capturing and recording videos.
Secure all evidence, including phone call recordings, texts, and log records.
Actively use customer centers, relevant branches, and complaints to the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS).
If contact is delayed or the compensation amount is insufficient, consider actively filing a lawsuit or a complaint with higher authorities.
Summarizing the key points related to stock order failures amidst economic and global financial issues.
First, stock order non-execution and execution delays occur due to computer system failures of securities companies, with Kiwoom Securities being a representative example.
Second, thorough evidence collection, such as capturing, video recording, and phone call records, from the moment of order attempt is crucial in case of failure.
Third, for compensation application, proving order details according to the compensation standards is essential, and in particular, buy orders may be difficult to claim compensation for.
Fourth, prompt response is required through customer centers, branches, and FSS complaints, and according to precedents, compensation is calculated based on the average price of the day.
Finally, it is important for securities companies to improve their systems and establish reasonable compensation procedures in the context of economic and global competition.
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