TARIFF BOMB EMERGENCY

● Trump’s Tariff Tremors, Treasury Turmoil

Trump’s Tariff War and Soaring Treasury Yields: A Summary of Investment Points Amid the US-China Conflict

Tariff War and Market Volatility

Market volatility has increased significantly following the recent announcement of a tariff war scenario initiated by Trump.

The announcement and implementation of the tariff war have clearly led investors to avoid risky assets and turn to safe-haven assets.

This shift has resulted in increased selling pressure in the stock market and heightened interest in safe assets like gold and government bonds.

Key economic keywords such as trade war, treasury yields, US-China conflict, economic crisis, and safe assets are prominently highlighted here.

The Subtle Paradox of Treasury Sales and Rising Interest Rates

Traditionally, during a stock market downturn, government bonds, as safe-haven assets, should see increased buying pressure, leading to higher prices and lower interest rates. However, the opposite is happening.

The rise in treasury yields is significantly increasing the US government’s financial burden, which may reduce the likelihood of the tariff war escalating.

There has been speculation about certain institutions, hedge funds, or even major countries like China and Japan selling off their treasury holdings. However, these are not merely simple sales but strategic calculations at play.

These treasury sales and interest rate changes are not just speculative phenomena but critical variables directly linked to the US-China conflict and economic crisis.

Trade War Scenarios and Investment Strategies

Investors’ asset allocation strategies vary significantly depending on whether the tariff war escalates or eases.

In the event of escalation, there is a noticeable shift from aggressive assets like stocks to safe assets, while in the event of easing, there is increased buying pressure on risky assets.

It is believed that the Trump administration is likely to focus on wars with specific countries rather than a full-scale conflict between the US and China, due to the internal constraint of rapidly rising treasury yields.

Investors should closely monitor trade war and treasury yield fluctuations in this situation.

US-China Hegemony War and US Financial Burden

The US government’s fiscal deficit and interest rate hikes have a significant impact not only on the tariff war but also on the direction of the US-China hegemony war.

The surge in interest expenses, coupled with increased fiscal spending, is making it difficult for the US government to take additional tariff measures.

This situation implies that the US may exhibit a similar pattern to the international financial crisis era.

Ultimately, the ripple effects of the US-China conflict on the overall economy are a critical factor that investors should pay attention to.

Key Points to Consider When Investing

Overall, the escalation and easing of the tariff war, as well as the rapid changes in treasury yields, are important variables in establishing not only short-term but also long-term investment strategies.

In particular, the increased demand for safe assets in situations such as trade wars, US-China conflict, and economic crises should be closely observed.

Investors need to consider what opportunities can be found in traditional safe assets such as government bonds, stocks, gold, and the dollar.

In addition, swift responses to policy changes and international situations are critical.

Summary

Market volatility has surged due to the announcement of the tariff war.

The preference for safe assets has led to a surge in interest rates instead of treasury prices.

The US-China conflict and the US government’s financial burden have a significant impact on the tariff war scenario.

Investment strategies need to be revised in the context of the trade war situation oscillating between escalation and easing.

Pay attention to key keywords such as trade war, treasury yields, US-China conflict, economic crisis, and safe assets.

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● Zelensky’s Counteroffensive, Putin’s Agony

The Intense Current Status of the War in Ukraine and Global Economic Outlook

Pre and Post Full-Scale Invasion in 2022 and Initial Scenarios

The situation in Ukraine, prior to the full-scale invasion in February 2022, already had the Crimean Peninsula and separatist regions marked in red on the map.
Russia invaded in 2014, seized the Crimean Peninsula, and effectively solidified its control through a referendum.
The invasion, which the world expected to “end in 2-3 days,” actually progressed extensively, reaching the vicinity of Kyiv.
At this time, the United States began military aid to Ukraine on the condition that they “only defend their territory.”
This situation is intertwined with the war in Ukraine and the global economic outlook, Russian military operations, economic sanctions, and defense industry issues.

Developments After March and Revisions to Expected Scenarios

The March map shows red lines formed across the entire border, clearly indicating Russia’s invasion.
Most people expected a quick resolution, but the Ukrainian army fought fiercely in the Donbas region, successfully defending it.
The battle situation continues to fluctuate, with both sides eager to secure bargaining chips.
The United States and NATO are strategically choosing to leverage Ukraine’s defense industry capabilities to contain the Russian advance.

Ukraine’s Counterattack Attempt and U.S. Military Support in Early 2025

Around March 2025, Ukraine succeeded in penetrating Russian territory in the small but decisive Kursk region.
This is interpreted as a move forward, defying the existing U.S. condition to “only defend your land.”
In particular, the HIMARS rocket system supported by the U.S. military is acting as a variable determining the war situation.
This weapon, equipped with 960 bomblets, has a large-scale impact effect in a short time, serving as an opportunity to shift tactical situations.

Geopolitical Tensions, Economic Sanctions, and Defense Industry Support

In the early stages of the war, Russia relentlessly attacked, citing issues of pride and the restoration of past territories.
Both sides are trying to gain an advantage in negotiations through victory rather than stopping the war.
U.S. leaders, including President Trump, are applying pressure through cease-fire attempts, termination of intelligence provision, and economic sanctions (such as a 25% tariff on Russian oil).
Internationally, NATO countries such as Poland, Denmark, Finland, and Sweden are actively promoting support for Ukraine’s defense industry and the supply of parts, significantly impacting the global economic outlook.
Along with this, discussions related to the U.S. and Russian military strategies, economic sanctions, and the defense industry are becoming more intense.

U.S. and NATO Involvement, Negotiation Stalemates, and Continuation of the War

Neither side wants to stop the war, endlessly cycling through the battlefield due to issues of victory and pride.
The United States alternates between providing intelligence and weapons support, fine-tuning Ukraine’s combat capabilities, while leaders like Trump attempt to reconcile the differences between Ukraine and Russia at the negotiating table.
Meanwhile, Russia is asserting tactical pride backed by public support through the restoration of past territories, maintaining a position that cannot be conceded even in negotiations.
Therefore, the war in Ukraine is more likely to lead to a long-term negotiation stalemate and physical deadlock than a short-term conclusion, according to analysis.

The overall development began with Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Initially, a quick resolution was expected, but the war became twisted as Ukraine fiercely defended the Donbas region.
From March, the battlefield repeated advances and retreats, and tactical changes appeared with the introduction of new weapons such as the U.S. military’s HIMARS rocket support.
In early 2025, Ukraine’s Kursk counterattack and the United States and NATO’s defense industry support, economic sanctions, and geopolitical tensions are complexly intertwined, and the war is not expected to end easily.
All of this content is analyzed focusing on major SEO keywords such as the global economic outlook, the war in Ukraine, Russian military, economic sanctions, and the defense industry.

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