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● Trump-Triggered, US Asset Exodus?

Latest Analysis of Global Economic Outlook

Overall US Stock Market: Nasdaq Decline and Worsening Investor Sentiment

Currently, the US stock market has fallen by more than 3% based on the Nasdaq.
Major indices such as the Dow, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 are all down more than 2%.
President Trump’s public pressure on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is making headlines, spreading unease in the market.
Investor sentiment is further deteriorating as the effects of tariff policies gradually become apparent.
The fact that this level of decline has occurred without any specific decisive news signals that investor sentiment is extremely unstable.

Movements in Interest Rates, Dollar, and Gold Prices

The dollar index is also continuing to decline, losing credibility.
Distrust in the dollar is growing due to the combination of the US government’s monetary policy and Trump’s calls for interest rate cuts.
As a result, investment demand for gold, a safe asset, is surging, and gold ETF prices are rising by an average of 2.8%.
The price of gold per troy ounce has exceeded $1400, and some analysts suggest the possibility of rising to $5000.

Political Conflicts and CEO Recession Predictions

Trump publicly ridiculed Powell through his social media, urging the Fed to raise interest rates.
His demand for interest rate hikes instead of cuts is causing confusion in the market.
Major domestic and international economic figures warn that Trump’s actions will destabilize the overall US economy.
According to CNBC data, more than 62% of US CEOs expect a recession within the next six months.
Investment firms like Apollo estimate the probability of a recession at 90% due to tariffs and trade uncertainties.

Global Trade and Korean Export Data

The latest export data from Korea shows a sharp 14% year-on-year decline in exports to the US.
This is interpreted as the first data since Trump imposed a 10% retaliatory tariff in April.
At the same time, Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba has stated that he cannot easily concede in tariff negotiations with the US.
In this situation, Korea and other Asian countries need to respond cautiously.

Individual Company Issues: Tesla, Nvidia, etc.

Tesla’s stock price is plummeting due to the postponement of the launch of its low-cost model and Elon Musk’s political activities.
Even analyst Dan Ives is urging him to step down from the government efficiency department and focus on automobile manufacturing.
As uncertainty surrounding Tesla increases, negative outlooks for the first-quarter earnings announcement are spreading.
Nvidia is under pressure to lower its stock price due to the US government’s ban on semiconductor exports to China.
As Huawei plans to expand its GPU supply in China, there are concerns that the US export restriction policy may accelerate China’s AI semiconductor independence.
Also, AWS’s conservative shift in data center investment is negatively affecting investment sentiment related to AI.

Overall Assessment and Investment Outlook

There are many uncertainties in both the US and global economies.
Combining key keywords such as global economy, economic outlook, investment, US economy, and stock market, investors should prepare for short-term volatility while approaching with caution from a long-term perspective.
This is a time when various variables such as tariffs, interest rate disputes, and corporate risks are acting in combination.
Therefore, in the current situation, it is necessary to carefully observe the uncertain market atmosphere and pay attention to risk management.

Summary

The US stock market has fallen by more than 3% based on the Nasdaq, and investor sentiment has been greatly weakened due to Trump’s pressure on the Fed and tariff policies.
The decline in dollar credibility, the rise in gold prices, and the expectations of a recession among US CEOs are increasing uncertainty in the overall economy.
A combination of various factors, including a sharp decline in Korean exports, cautious negotiation attitudes of Japan and other Asian countries, and individual issues of Tesla and Nvidia, are making the global economy and investment environment difficult.
Overall, this situation requires short-term volatility and long-term risk management.

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Policy Changes of President Trump
Tesla, From Crisis to Opportunity

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