CRISIS Looms THREAT to Korean Economy

● Trump’s Mideast Mayhem- Iran in the Crosshairs

World Economic Outlook: The Impact of Iranian Pressure and Changes in US Policy on the Global Economy

1. Shock to the Global Economy

The global economy is now at a major turning point.
Events that significantly impact the financial markets and economic outlook of various countries are occurring in succession.
In particular, the repercussions of the pressure on Iran are becoming serious on the international financial market and the global economy as a whole.

Currently, economic uncertainty is growing as tensions between the United States, Israel, and various Middle Eastern countries intensify.
Unpredictable events such as precision drone interception incidents and attacks by Houthi organizations are occurring, and international politics and economic outlook are facing major challenges.

2. US Response and Policy Changes

The United States is pursuing a more aggressive foreign policy than before.
The foreign policy stance of the Trump era still seems to linger, and the Biden administration is also ready to impose strong sanctions on Iran at any time depending on the conditions.

These actions can bring not only military response but also economic sanctions and financial market instability.
Therefore, it is time to closely monitor the flow of the global economy and international politics.

3. Middle East Tensions and Trends in International Financial Markets

Rising tensions in the Middle East are having a major impact not only on the economic outlook but also on international financial markets.
Pressure on Iran and strong US response are acting as factors that increase uncertainty in the economy as a whole.

With major countries such as China invisibly attempting policy interventions, the global economy and international politics are becoming increasingly complex.
As a result, volatility in international politics and financial markets is increasing, significantly impacting the economic outlook.

4. Future Prospects and Points to Note

In the future, the world economy is likely to develop rapidly depending on changes in the foreign policies of several major countries such as the United States, Iran, China, and Israel.
In this process, key keywords such as the global economy, world economic outlook, economic outlook, international politics, and financial markets will play an important role.

Simplifying these complex issues, the world economy as a whole will be greatly affected by diplomatic conflicts and policy changes, and uncertainty is expected to increase day by day.

< Summary >

Uncertainty is growing in the global economy due to the US strong response and pressure on Iran.
International financial markets and economic outlook are greatly affected by policy changes in the United States, China, Israel, and Middle Eastern countries.
Instability in the global economy, world economic outlook, economic outlook, international politics, and financial markets is an important variable in future international affairs.

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– “이란에게 본보기 보여준다” 트럼프가 중동 박살내는 진짜 이유｜성일광 교수 1부

● Housing Market Crash Imminent

Real-Time Global Economic Outlook and Real Estate Market Trends

Domestic Economic Recession and IMF Comparison

The current economic situation in Korea is as depressed as during the IMF crisis.
The difficulties of self-employed people are evident, and the actual economic sentiment is serious.
The perspective is that the crisis has already arrived instead of “When will it come?”

Imbalance in the Real Estate Market

The fact that prices are rising only in some areas of Gangnam, Seoul is a statistical loophole.
Overall, there is an oversupply of unsold houses in the provinces, and the instability of the real estate market is intensifying.
High-priced apartment transactions occur only among a small number of high-net-worth individuals and do not reflect the overall market.

Exaggeration of Media Reports and Policy Issues

The media should be held responsible for highlighting only the rise in Gangnam house prices with exaggerated reports.
Policy issues such as the lifting of the land transaction permit system contribute to the distortion of the real estate market.
It is pointed out that it is similar to the Trump administration’s reliance on SNS and YouTube instead of mainstream media.

Crisis in the Construction Industry and Commercial District Market

The construction industry is experiencing great difficulties due to local construction companies and PF problems.
Numerous construction companies and subcontractors are facing bankruptcy and closure.
There is a risk that the value of commercial real estate will plummet due to increased vacancies and poor rental income.

Interest Rate Policy and External Economic Factors

Despite the difference in benchmark interest rates with the United States, the Bank of Korea is predicting an economic recession by lowering interest rates.
There are concerns that the burden of loans and the debt problems of self-employed people will intensify, spreading the real estate and financial crisis.
External factors such as global protectionism and tariff wars may directly impact the Korean economy.

Redevelopment/Reconstruction and Infrastructure Concentration Issues

Redevelopment and reconstruction centered on Seoul are limited to transactions by a very small number of high-net-worth individuals.
Provinces and outskirts are likely to show a long-term decline due to lack of infrastructure and population outflow.
New provincial cities such as Sejong City are also not meeting expectations due to insufficient infrastructure.

Economic Depression and Future Prospects

If the economic recession prolongs, it may entail financial insolvency and bank bankruptcy.
There are concerns that the crisis in self-employment and commercial real estate will interact with each other, adversely affecting the overall economy.
It is expected that Korea will become more vulnerable to the global economic environment due to external economic pressure and the absence of leadership.

< Summary >

The domestic economic situation is serious, comparable to the IMF crisis.
House price increases are skewed towards some transactions in Gangnam, Seoul, distorting the overall real estate market.
Market instability is increasing due to exaggerated media reports and land transaction policy issues.
The construction industry, commercial real estate, self-employment, and the financial sector are all facing deepening crises.
The gap in interest rates with the United States and external factors such as external tariff wars include the risk of economic recession and depression.

[Related Articles…]
Analysis of the Rapid Rise in Gangnam Real Estate

Economic Recession Outlook and Response Strategies

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