Urgent Warning US Debt Crisis China Japan Impact

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미 국채 붕괴 시나리오가 불가능한 이유

URGENT China Japan Cant Be Dumped US Treasury Collapse Impossible

U.S. Treasury Crisis and the Impact and Outlook of China and Japan’s Actions on Financial Markets

1. U.S. Treasury Holdings and China’s Strategy

In the international financial market centered around U.S. Treasuries,
China’s strategy of massively purchasing U.S. Treasuries with dollars accumulated over the past 30-40 years is a very important point.
U.S. Treasuries are traditionally considered safe assets, but if major holders like China or Japan start selling,
it could cause significant repercussions in the global financial market as well as the U.S. economy due to a simultaneous drop in Treasury prices and a rise in interest rates.
In this case, risk management is essential for asset investors who have built their portfolios with U.S. Treasuries as underlying assets.

2. The Role of Major Holders and Possible Selling Scenarios

Japan ranks first and China ranks second in terms of U.S. Treasury holdings.
If China rapidly sells U.S. Treasuries,
it would lead to a fall in Treasury prices and a surge in interest rates,
which would significantly affect not only foreign investors but also the stability of domestic commercial banks and the Federal Reserve.
In particular, if hedge funds and individual investors jump into short-term trading,
the range of interest rate fluctuations could increase further, acting as an element of instability in the overall financial market.

3. U.S. and China’s Bond and Dollar Strategies

If China disposes of U.S. Treasuries,
there is a possibility of a change in the structure of foreign exchange reserves along with a decline in the value of the dollar.
If the dollar weakens,
China may experience the side effect of a stronger yuan under its export-oriented economic system.
At the same time, the U.S. may face a crisis in its creditor relationship with 185 countries worldwide in relation to tariff policies,
raising concerns about mutual trust between creditors and debtors and uncertainty about future interest rate policy changes.

4. The Role of Japan and Other Countries and Market Sentiment

As a U.S. Treasury holder, Japan can also cause psychological shocks to the market through small-scale sales during the rebalancing process.
However, rather than sales at the national level,
small-scale adjustments by institutional investors such as pension funds are the main focus,
and explosive market fluctuations due to large-scale sales like those of China have not yet occurred.
However, the possibility of hedge funds and individual investors rapidly entering the market
can further amplify the elements of instability in the financial market.

5. Global Tariff War and U.S. Response Strategy

As the U.S. strengthens tariff imposition worldwide,
concerns of “let’s die together” are growing among creditors holding U.S. Treasuries.
If each creditor collectively attempts to sell,
there is a risk that Treasury prices could plummet at once,
and the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department will focus on preparing countermeasures using quantitative tightening policies and the power to issue currency to prepare for this.
At the same time, the movement to promote new trade agreements such as the CPTP (Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership)
suggests the possibility of a reorganization of the global order along with the weakening of the U.S.’s long-term soft power.

6. Future Financial Market Outlook and Key Implications

As distrust in the U.S. Treasury market grows,
the decline in credibility of the U.S. economy and the rise in interest rates will be a major variable in future asset investment strategies.
In particular, there is a high possibility that U.S. Treasury yields will remain at a high level rather than returning to the past era of low interest rates,
which could act as a long-term economic burden for Treasury holders, including China.
Therefore, in order to accurately predict the global economic outlook,
it is essential to closely monitor the movements of major holders such as China and Japan and the U.S. policy response,
as well as financial market risk management and asset portfolio restructuring.
All of these points, along with top SEO keywords such as “U.S. Treasuries,” “China Economy,” “Financial Market,” “Risk Management,” and “Asset Investment,”
will greatly help in analyzing the global economic outlook.

< Summary >

The movements of Japan and China, which are U.S. Treasury holders,
pose a risk of significantly affecting the overall financial market.
If China sells a large amount of U.S. Treasuries it holds alone,
there is a possibility that the U.S. economy and global financial market will be shaken due to falling Treasury prices and rising interest rates.
In particular, the problem of a weak dollar and a strong yuan occurs at the same time,
which may negatively affect the Chinese economy and exports.
Depending on the tariff war and the response of creditors, the U.S.
will try to manage risks through future interest rate policies and quantitative tightening.
All of this has been carefully analyzed around the core SEO keywords of “U.S. Treasuries,” “China Economy,” “Financial Market,” “Risk Management,” and “Asset Investment.”

[Related Articles…]
Analysis of the Severity of the Treasury Crisis
Tariff War and International Trade Changes


*Source : [교양이를 부탁해] [지식뉴스 EP.28] 충격적인 역성장 쇼크에도 “중국•일본, 결국 아무도 못 던져요”…미 국채 붕괴 시나리오가 불가능한 이유 1편 (ft.오건영 단장) / 교양이를 부탁해


 ● 미 국채 붕괴 시나리오가 불가능한 이유 URGENT China Japan Cant Be Dumped US Treasury Collapse Impossible U.S. Treasury Crisis and the Impact and Outlook of China and Japan’s Actions on Financial Markets 1. U.S. Treasury Holdings and China’s Strategy In the international financial market centered around U.S. Treasuries, China’s strategy of massively purchasing…

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