---

---

● Bitcoin’s Explosive Surge- Digital Gold, Halving, Quantum Computing

2024 Bitcoin Cycle and Global Economic Outlook – Complete Summary of Key Points

Understanding Halving and Cycles

Bitcoin undergoes a halving every four years, a characteristic that reduces its supply by half.
The initial reward was 50 bitcoins, which later decreased to 25, 12.5, and currently stands at approximately 3.125.
Historical data shows that after each halving in 2010, 2016, and 2020, prices surged within one to one and a half years.
The first cycle saw an increase of about 100 times, followed by 30 times and 8 times, with the rate of increase gradually decreasing but the upward trend continuing.
In the next cycle, conservative estimates suggest a two- to threefold increase, while optimistic forecasts predict a four- to fivefold rise.

Macroeconomic Factors – Interest Rates and Liquidity

In the global economy, interest rate policies and liquidity supply are the most critical variables.
In 2012 and during the pandemic in 2020, Bitcoin and cryptocurrency prices soared due to zero interest rates and liquidity injections.
Conversely, in 2016, the rise in Bitcoin prices was limited amid interest rate hikes and a tightening monetary policy.
Currently, with interest rates frozen and some potential for liquidity recovery, there is high anticipation for a bull market after 2024.

Bitcoin as a Strategic Reserve Asset

Bitcoin is recognized as a valuable asset due to its limited issuance.
Former President Trump’s pledges regarding cryptocurrencies and movements at the U.S. state government level highlight the supply limitation effect.
Discussions about holding Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset continue to draw attention from financial institutions and policymakers.
If these movements materialize, they could be a significant boon in terms of demand and further increase upward price pressure.

Risk Factors to Consider When Investing

Bitcoin’s price is fundamentally determined by the balance of supply and demand but is sensitive to macroeconomic shocks.
Sudden interest rate hikes, liquidity tightening, and unexpected shifts in the tightening cycle can lead to rapid adjustments in the Bitcoin market.
Additionally, security threats from the advancement of quantum computers and exchange hacking incidents (e.g., Mt. Gox, FTX) are elements to watch out for when investing.
Therefore, long-term investors should not be swayed by short-term volatility and should make investment decisions through systematic cycle analysis.

Comprehensive Outlook and Investment Strategy

Bitcoin has the potential to rise in the long term, influenced by halving cycles, the global economy, and the interest rate and liquidity environment.
However, given its high price volatility, it is essential to closely monitor various factors, including economic conditions, regulatory trends, and policy changes in the United States.
In particular, investment success in the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency market depends on stable asset allocation and thorough risk management.
Analyzing market prospects around the best SEO keywords—economy, investment, and cryptocurrency—highlights the importance of risk management along with expectations of a positive bull market after 2024.

Bitcoin exhibits a structure where prices rise through four-year halving cycles.
The macroeconomic interest rate and liquidity environment significantly affect Bitcoin’s price formation, with frozen interest rates and discussions of strategic reserve assets being positive factors.
Conversely, risk factors such as sudden tightening, security threats from quantum computers, and exchange hacks can cause short-term price volatility.
Therefore, long-term investors should establish investment strategies through systematic cycle analysis and risk management, and it is crucial to carefully examine information related to the economy, investment, and cryptocurrency.

[Related Articles…]
Bitcoin Price Increase Forecast Analysis
Global Interest Rate Fluctuations and Investment Strategies

*YouTube Source: [경제 읽어주는 남자(김광석TV)]

– [모아보기] 전문가 3인의 비트코인 폭등 시나리오: 디지털 골드, 2번의 반감기, 양자컴퓨터