● Trump Demands Fed Rate Cut After “Very Good” CPI
Today’s Bond Futures Chart Analysis and Nasdaq Market Outlook – Key Summary
After the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and employment indicators at 9:30 AM today, the futures chart plunged to 21,714 points. However, as the PPI fell below expectations, it quickly rebounded.
This article organizes the plunge at 9:30, the touch of 21,892 points around 10:50, and the current movement near 21,852 points in chronological order. It also provides detailed explanations of buy signals and investment strategies from the perspective of Nasdaq-related issues and technical analysis.
This post naturally incorporates key keywords related to economy, market, investment, analysis, and stock market. From chart interpretation to buy strength analysis using Ichimoku Cloud, it covers everything. Reading to the end will allow you to grasp the latest stock market trends and investment strategies at a glance.
09:30 PPI Announcement and Initial Market Reaction
After the release of the Producer Price Index and employment indicators at 9:30 AM, the futures chart plunged to 21,714 points.
However, the PPI figure was lower than market expectations, resulting in a rebound after the plunge.
This moment was crucial for identifying pull-back buy points in technical trading, alongside overall economic anxiety.
10:50 Recovery and Current Weak Range
Around 10:50 AM, the chart touched the vicinity of 21,892 points, showing a short-term recovery movement.
Currently, it is recording a slight decrease (approximately 0.16%) and surpassing the 21,852 point mark.
In this process, investors should recognize the need to closely examine pull-back buying opportunities and technical indicators.
Nasdaq-related Technical Analysis and Buy Signals
Technical analysis of the Nasdaq market is particularly important. According to today’s expert master, it rebounded from 21,470 points after falling below 21,700 points last week.
Using various auxiliary indicators, including the Ichimoku Cloud, strong buy signals are appearing from the conversion line, base line, and cloud.
It is interpreted as a buy signal when the conversion line is above the base line and the cloud is positive, which is supported by the lagging span being positioned above the candles.
Additionally, strong bullish signals are appearing in auxiliary indicators such as RSI and MACD, confirming the buy strength.
However, as pull-backs may occur at the buy entry timing during a surge, investors should always be cautious and consider a divided buying strategy.
Maintain Buy and Pull-back Buy Strategy
No sell signals are separately identified in the current chart, and the overall flow is interpreted as a buy maintenance perspective.
As indicated by various keywords such as economy, market, investment, analysis, and stock market, short-term pull-backs can rather be linked to buying opportunities.
In other words, a strategy is needed to maintain a buy position in the current situation and consider additional purchases in appropriate pull-back zones.
Outlook and Comprehensive Investment Strategy
Combining today’s futures chart and Nasdaq technical analysis, there is short-term volatility, but there is room for medium- to long-term gains.
In particular, major technical indicators such as the conversion line, base line, and lagging span are showing continuous buy signals.
Investors are advised to comprehensively consider chart analysis, economic indicators, and market news, and actively consider pull-back buying in the current situation, and manage risk through a divided buying strategy.
< Summary >
The futures chart, which had plunged after the 9:30 AM PPI announcement, quickly rebounded and touched 21,892 points around 10:50 AM.
Currently, it is moving near 21,852 points.
In the Nasdaq market, technical analysis using Ichimoku Cloud shows strong buy signals, and it is evaluated that there is room for medium- to long-term gains in terms of economy and stock market.
Investors should actively consider pull-back buying opportunities along with market analysis, and pay attention to risk management through a divided buying strategy.
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*YouTube Source: [서울경제TV]
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● Dollar Surge, Boeing Plunge
Latest Customs, Exchange Rate, and Corporate News Updates
[1] Current Status of Tariff Negotiations and Trump’s Actions
President Trump is scheduled to send the final written decision regarding tariff increases before the July 9th deadline.
Currently, a basic agreement has been reached with the UK, but China remains in a state of truce.
The possibility of extending tariff increases is left open for some countries.
In particular, the focus is on promoting bilateral agreements with countries such as Japan, India, and South Korea.
Japan is employing a strategy of bundling 25% and 50% tariffs on steel, aluminum, and automotive parts for mutual handling.
Trump and Secretary Vesenje anticipate extending the tariff waiver measures for countries that are diligently negotiating.
In addition, President Trump is signaling the possibility of additional negotiations and focusing on finalizing the work.
[2] Exchange Rate and Financial Market Outlook
The Korean won exchange rate is currently showing a trend of rising from 1300 to the 1350 range.
Optimism about the Korean asset market is spreading, with observations of inflow of foreign stock funds and reduced outflow of domestic residents’ overseas assets.
UBS forecasts that the USD/KRW exchange rate could reach the 1300 level if the KOSPI rises an additional 10% and the Fed implements two interest rate hikes.
Amid global economic uncertainty, investors are advised to utilize the N1 exchange rate as an asset allocation strategy between defensive and cyclical stocks.
As such, exchange rate trends and interest rate forecasts are expected to have a significant impact on the future economic environment.
[3] Analysis of Key Price Indices and Employment Data
Recent CPI and PPI indices have been released.
Despite the CPI being the final consumer price index, the PPI, as a wholesale price index, is showing a leading effect.
The leading price index initially declined slightly and then rose again by 0.1%, which is interpreted as the tariff impact taking full effect.
The 2.9% increase in wholesale margins for machinery and vehicles at the wholesale stage is also noteworthy.
Meanwhile, employment indicators show 248,000 new claims and 1,956,000 continuing claims for two weeks or more, focusing attention on employment stability.
[4] Corporate News – Boeing Accident and Oracle’s Performance
A tragic accident occurred where a Boeing 787 Dreamliner crashed on a route to India.
This accident is the first for the Dreamliner model, and the presumed death of all passengers and crew has sent shockwaves through the industry.
On the other hand, Oracle reported strong performance with revenue and net profit exceeding Wall Street’s expectations.
The cloud infrastructure revenue sector, in particular, showed strong growth, projecting growth of over 70% this year.
In relation to corporate performance, it is being highlighted as an important keyword along with the global economy, tariffs, Trump, and exchange rates.
[5] Future Outlook and Overall Opinion
Attention is needed regarding the outcome of negotiations and the possibility of tariff waivers after the tariff decision is notified on July 9.
Exchange rate and KOSPI movements, as well as changes in the Fed’s interest rate policy, are expected to have a significant impact on the investment environment.
Analysis of price indices and employment data also requires a cautious response amid economic recovery and uncertainty.
In corporate news, the contrast between the shock to the aviation industry from the Boeing accident and Oracle’s solid performance is expected to act as an important variable in global economic trends.
Latest tariff news. President Trump is expected to make a decision on tariff increases through the final written decision on July 9.
Negotiation status with major countries such as the UK, China, Japan, and South Korea, as well as the possibility of tariff waivers, are mentioned.
The Korean won exchange rate is moving in the 1300-1350 range, and scenarios of an additional KOSPI rise and two interest rate hikes are presented.
Concerns about economic slowdown and stability are observed simultaneously in price indices such as CPI and PPI, and employment data such as an increase in claims.
Corporate news such as the Boeing Dreamliner accident and Oracle’s strong performance are drawing attention in conjunction with global economic, tariff, Trump, exchange rate, and Oracle-related issues.
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*YouTube Source: [Maeil Business Newspaper]
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