● Fed Pivot- Liquidity Surge- September Jitters- Stock Winners
Analysis of Potential September Stock Market Correction and Beneficiary Stock Strategies Amidst the Fed’s Pivot and Liquidity Expectations
[1] The Fed’s Surprise Remarks and Policy Shift
Recently, at the Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting, Chairman Powell referred to inflation as “transitory,” suggesting a possible shift away from the current tight inflation management regime towards a more flexible policy approach.
As a result, the market showed a strong rebound, anticipating potential interest rate cuts in the short term.
This change by the Fed is interpreted as a move considering both the risk of future economic slowdown and declining employment, and it could bring significant repercussions across the global economy.
Notably, this is the most critical point that is not mentioned in most news or YouTube analyses.
[2] Market Reaction and Rising Liquidity Expectations
In response to the Fed’s policy shift news, the stock market is showing great interest not only in AI and infrastructure-led stocks but also in liquidity-related stocks that could benefit from interest rate cuts.
Cryptocurrency-related stocks, particularly Ethereum and Bitcoin ETFs, have shown strong gains, and liquidity expectations are also influencing traditional interest rate-sensitive stocks, commodities, construction stocks, and the healthcare sector.
This phenomenon is an important trend not well covered in market textbooks, helping investors prepare for short-term corrections while considering long-term buying opportunities.
[3] Key Beneficiary Stocks by Sector and Cautions
First Group: Cryptocurrency and IT Finance Beneficiary Stocks
– Ethereum, Bitcoin, and related ETFs have recently hit all-time highs, showing strong upward momentum.
– While there are negative views on the AI bubble and existing AI infrastructure stocks, there is a high possibility of a short-term rebound due to increased liquidity.
– SEO Keywords: Fed, Liquidity, Stock Beneficiary Stocks
Second Group: Interest Rate Cut Beneficiary Stocks and Cyclical Stocks
– With expectations for the resumption of interest rate cuts, construction, airline, pharmaceutical/healthcare, and biotech stocks are gaining attention.
– Stock price momentum is strengthening due to expectations of loan and consumption recovery, and overall industrial recovery.
– SEO Keywords: Interest Rate Cuts, Market Correction
Third Group: Traditional Value Stocks and Commodity-Related Beneficiary Stocks
– Construction, finance, energy, and healthcare stocks included in the Dow Jones may become additional purchase targets following this policy change.
– Supply chain recovery for rare metals and commodities, and policies to strengthen the US production base are expected to have a positive impact.
– SEO Keywords: Stock Beneficiary Stocks, Market Correction
[4] Historical Patterns and September Outlook
Analysis of stock price movements around the Jackson Hole meeting over the past five years shows a tendency for a rebound on the day of the meeting, followed by a correction again in September.
As there is a high probability of a profit-taking and correction phase starting from early September following this short-term rally, investors should consider a strategy of buying slowly rather than making aggressive bets.
In particular, it is necessary to pay attention to the impact of earnings announcements of major AI infrastructure companies like NVIDIA on the overall market.
These market patterns will act as important risk management indicators for investors.
[5] Future Impact on the US Stock Market and Global Economy
The Fed’s policy shift is expected to have a significant impact on the overall trend of the US stock market, including the second half of 2025.
Investors should closely monitor future employment indicators, NVIDIA earnings, commodity price movements, and respond to market volatility.
Even amidst concerns about an economic slowdown, a buying strategy centered on beneficiary stocks due to increased liquidity may still be effective, so a careful approach to portfolio composition is necessary.
From an overall global economic outlook perspective, the Fed’s policy change is expected to be an important variable in the economic growth of not only the United States but also the entire world.
SEO Keywords: Fed, Interest Rate Cuts, Market Correction, Liquidity, Stock Beneficiary Stocks
< Summary >
At the Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting, inflation was assessed as “transitory,” signaling a potential shift away from the existing tight inflation management regime towards a flexible policy. This has led to expectations of short-term interest rate cuts and rising liquidity, with several beneficiary stocks, including cryptocurrencies, interest rate-sensitive stocks, construction, and healthcare, showing strength. However, considering past patterns, there is a possibility of a correction in September, so investors should consider risk management and a careful buying strategy. It is also necessary to pay attention to the performance of major companies such as NVIDIA and employment and commodity indicators, and these changes are expected to have a significant impact on the future global economy and US stock market trends.
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*Source: [ 소수몽키 ]
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● Tax Cuts-Debt Trap
US and Japan Tax Cut Policies: The Truth Behind Debt Crisis Hidden Behind Immediate Economic Boost
1. US Tax Cut Policy OBBA and Expansion of Fiscal Deficit
The US is pursuing a large-scale tax cut policy called OBBA, aiming to stimulate short-term consumption and expand corporate investment.This process raises the possibility of a sharp increase in the fiscal deficit. According to data from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) and the CBO, the proportion of the fiscal deficit to GDP is expected to increase significantly in the future.While tax cuts can alleviate the immediate burden on businesses and consumers, contributing to economic revitalization, there is a risk of deteriorating fiscal soundness in the long term due to the issuance of government bonds and increased debt.The impact of the imbalance between economic growth and fiscal balance on the overall global economy cannot be judged solely by short-term effects, which is noteworthy.
2. Japan’s Major Opposition Parties’ Consumption Tax Cut Plan and Attempt to Boost Domestic Economy
Japan is trying to boost the domestic economy through consumption tax cuts.Major opposition parties are proposing plans to reduce the consumption tax to 0% or significantly lower it for food and some or all items, with expected tax cut effects ranging from 4.8 trillion yen to 15.3 trillion yen annually.In the short term, the reduction in consumption burden is expected to promote economic growth. However, as seen in past cases of tax cut policies in 1994, 1998, and 1999, there is a high possibility that negative results such as deteriorating fiscal balance and a sharp increase in government debt will accompany it.Additionally, the impact of consumption tax cuts on the dollar’s status and exchange rate volatility is an important variable to consider in the future.
3. Positive and Negative Effects of Tax Cut Policies: A Balanced Perspective
Tax cut policies have positive effects such as increasing the growth rate through short-term economic revitalization, consumption promotion, and incentives for corporate investment.In particular, both the US and Japan are forecasting an upward effect on the overall economic growth rate due to the expectation of consumption and investment revitalization after the tax cuts.However, the negative effects of reduced future consumption and increased debt repayment burden are also clear.As fiscal soundness deteriorates, it will have a negative ripple effect on the overall global economy in the long term. It is important to note that fiscal balance deterioration has been repeated after tax cuts in the Reagan, Bush, and Trump eras.
4. Similarities Between Past Cases and Current Policies, and Warning Messages
The US implemented tax cut policies during the Reagan, Bush, and Trump eras, boosting the economy in the short term, but also significantly increasing the fiscal deficit and debt.On the other hand, the tax increase policy of the Clinton era, although painful in the short term, showed long-term improvements in fiscal soundness and economic stability.Japan also has a case where government debt and fiscal deficits increased significantly after the implementation of consumption tax cuts in the past, giving a warning that the currently 추진 tax cut policy should not focus solely on boosting the domestic economy.
For economic forecasts, it is necessary to comprehensively consider not only short-term growth rates but also medium- to long-term fiscal soundness and risks in the global financial market.This perspective is an important point that focuses on fiscal soundness issues and future debt risks behind tax cut policies, which are not often covered in other news or YouTube.
5. Conclusion: Current Tax Cut Policies, Coexistence of Short-Term Benefits and Long-Term Risks
The tax cut policies currently implemented by the US and Japan are clearly promoting consumption and corporate investment with short-term economic boosting effects.However, the expansion of fiscal deficits and the increase in debt caused by tax cuts can pose a serious threat to the soundness of not only the national economy but also the global economy in the long term.Therefore, policymakers need to establish a balanced fiscal policy that fully considers the burden on future generations and global financial risks, rather than focusing solely on short-term political gains.
[Related Articles…]• Shadow of US Tax Cuts• The Truth About Japan’s Debt Crisis
*Source: [ 경제 읽어주는 남자(김광석TV) ]
– The Reality of Tax Cuts… The Risks of Fiscal Deficits in the US and Japan [Kyungreadnam, Episod…
● Rate-Rocket-Carwash-NYC Shockers
1. September Interest Rate Outlook – Not Just a Rate Cut?
Unlike recent economic news, the outlook for a September rate cut cannot be simply explained as a ‘guaranteed cut’.
The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to maintain a conservative policy stance, considering both inflation and economic uncertainty.
As such, unexpected variables can influence the global economy and financial markets, requiring careful analysis when establishing investment strategies.
Economic forecasting experts are closely monitoring not only short-term interest rate fluctuations but also long-term economic trends, price stability, and the ripple effects in global financial markets.
Regarding the stock market, the key things investors need to prepare for are how to respond to policy changes within and outside the U.S. economy and unexpected financial shocks.
2. Rocket Lab’s 70th Electron Launch Success – A New Era for the Space Industry
Rocket Lab’s successful 70th Electron launch has injected new momentum into the space industry.
This launch is attracting attention both inside and outside the industry for its technical perfection and success rate, and is expected to have a significant impact on global investment strategies.
This success story goes beyond mere achievements in the space industry, suggesting the positive ripple effects of innovative technologies on the broader economy.
In particular, for investors interested in financial markets and stock market conditions, it can serve as an opportunity to expand investments in technology and advanced industries.
3. Americans’ Preference for Automatic Car Washes – Innovation in Consumption Patterns and Industry Outlook
The preference of American consumers for automatic car wash services goes beyond simple convenience, illustrating changes in consumption patterns and technological innovation.
The car wash industry is maximizing efficiency through the introduction of automation and digital technologies, emerging as one of the competitive global economic sectors.
Additionally, this consumption trend is considered one of the future growth engines by economic forecasting experts, potentially acting as a new opportunity factor in investment strategies.
In the financial market, there is increasing interest in companies related to automation technology, which provides investors with important insights connecting to the stock market and future economic prospects.
4. Hong Ki-ja’s Daily New York – Implications from Vivid Field Analysis
The key to Hong Ki-ja’s Daily New York appearance is the on-site information directly delivered by Maeil Business Newspaper correspondent Hong Sung-yong.
This broadcast aired on Monday, August 25, 2025, at 10 PM, covering not only in-depth analysis related to the U.S. stock market but also multifaceted issues of the global economy.
In particular, this content analyzes detailed economic data and the pace of policy changes that are not well covered by existing YouTube or news outlets, providing practical insights into financial markets and investment strategies.
It offers readers interested in economic forecasts and stock market conditions an opportunity to quickly grasp realistic information and real-time economic issues.
The September interest rate outlook is emphasized as not a simple prediction but a result of the U.S. Fed’s conservative approach and complex variables in the global financial market.
Rocket Lab’s successful 70th Electron launch is creating technological innovation in the space industry and positive ripple effects across the economy.
The American craze for automatic car washes demonstrates the impact of changing consumption patterns and automation innovation on the global economy.
Hong Ki-ja’s Daily New York broadcast provides in-depth information through vivid field analysis, focusing on key keywords such as financial markets, investment strategies, economic forecasts, and stock market conditions.
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*Source: [ Maeil Business Newspaper ]
– [美개장포인트] 9월 금리인하 무조건은 아니다?ㅣ로켓랩 70번째 일렉트론 발사 성공ㅣ미국인들이 선호하는 자동세차ㅣ홍키자의 매일뉴욕
● Russia’s Economic Apocalypse-Global Shockwaves
Russia’s Crisis and the International Situation: Impact on the Global Economy and Future Prospects
1. Worst Crisis Since the War: Rapidly Changing Situation in Russia
As depicted from the 00:33 mark, the aftermath of the most devastating war since World War II has struck Russia. The collapse of Russia’s military power and deepening internal and external conflicts are causing severe instability across the nation. This phenomenon is not just a military crisis but also significantly impacts the global economy, international trade, and the investment environment. Key economic keywords such as ‘global economy’ and ‘economic forecast’ are crucial elements that comprehensively explain the current situation.
2. Putin’s Decisive Choices and Their Aftermath
The “Putin’s Terrible Self-Inflicted Death” mentioned from 06:09 onwards appears to be not merely a political maneuver but a symbol of an inherent crisis that cannot be weaponized. The decisions of the Putin regime are likely to cause long-term structural problems within Russia and a decline in international trust. This could lead to instability in international trade, fluctuating interest rates, and unpredictable economic variables such as rapid changes in ‘market trends’.
3. Ukraine War and Northeast Asian Crisis: Economic Ripple Effects
The war in Ukraine is not just a regional conflict but a direct hit to the economic policies and international investment environment of countries around the world. In particular, even if this war ends, new sources of instability may emerge in various regions, including Northeast Asia. The international community must carefully re-evaluate future economic prospects amid uncertainty in the ‘international trade’ and ‘investment’ environments. This state of tension negatively impacts global ‘economic forecasts’, emphasizing the need for governments and businesses worldwide to prepare countermeasures.
4. Hidden Key Issues Noted by Economic Experts
The most critical content, which is not covered by most media and YouTube videos, is as follows: Firstly, the adverse impact of Russia’s internal political instability on the global investment market should not be overlooked. Secondly, international sanctions and response policies are likely to cause a reorganization of global ‘market trends’ and ‘economic forecasts’ in the medium to long term. Thirdly, the negative impact on ‘international trade’ that may result from new geopolitical risks caused by the Russian crisis in Northeast Asia and other regions should be carefully analyzed.
5. Major Developments of the Russian Crisis in Chronological Order
• Early Stage (Before and After the Outbreak of War): Russia experiences internal political conflicts and international pressure simultaneously, gradually increasing economic instability.• Mid Stage (Intensification of War and International Sanctions): With the prolonged war in Ukraine, international sanctions are imposed, and investment contraction and trade instability spread.• Subsequent Stage (Potential for Northeast Asian Crisis): Even after the war ends, persistent political instability and the resulting economic restructuring process may lead to new crises in the global economy, including Northeast Asia.
6. Conclusion: Strategic Preparation for the Future
The Russian crisis is severe in itself, but its impact on the international economy as a whole is much broader. Investors and policymakers must develop various risk analyses and response strategies focusing on key keywords such as ‘global economy’, ‘economic forecast’, ‘international trade’, ‘market trends’, and ‘investment’. Closely examining these hidden issues presented by economic experts and responding quickly to the flow of international affairs will be crucial for future economic stability.
< Summary >
Russia is facing the worst crisis since World War II, causing severe repercussions on the global economy due to internal turmoil and international sanctions. The decisions of the Putin regime exacerbate the nation’s instability, significantly impacting international trade and the investment environment, and the war in Ukraine is likely to reshape economic prospects worldwide, including Northeast Asia. Based on key economic keywords such as global economy, economic forecast, international trade, market trends, and investment, investors and policymakers must prepare countermeasures.
[Related Articles…]
Economic Lessons from the Russian Crisis
Ukraine War and International Economic Trends
*Source: [ 달란트투자 ]
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