2025 AI Global Investment Outlook

 



 

2025 Global Economic and Investment Outlook by BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and JP Morgan


1. 2025 Investment Strategy Overview

  • Major global investment institutions have released their economic and investment forecasts for 2025.
  • They commonly predict high volatility and emphasize the importance of thematic and active investing.
  • Key keywords: interest rate cuts, increased AI investment, economic recovery, emerging markets.

2. BlackRock: Increased Volatility and Conservative Response

  • Emphasis on Inflation Risk: Possibility of inflation resurgence during the mid-point of interest rate cuts.
  • Recommendation for TIPs (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities): To defend against volatility and inflation.
  • U.S. Advantage Outlook: Expectation of long-term resilience of the U.S. economy.

3. Goldman Sachs: AI Investment and Strong Recovery

  • AI-Led Growth: Anticipated continued growth in AI-related big tech stocks.
  • Emphasis on S&P 500 Performance: Expected earnings growth across all sectors.
  • U.S. Economic Stability: The S&P 500 is set to record the best earnings growth since 2018.

4. JP Morgan: Focus on Value Chains and AI Investment

  • Concentration on the AI Value Chain: Increased AI investment across various industries, beyond just IT.
  • Attention to Healthcare and Defense Sectors: Expected cost reductions through human substitution and AI utilization.
  • Power and Infrastructure Investment: Importance of power and renewable infrastructure due to data center and 5G demand.
  • Rediscovery of Europe: Opportunities in renewable energy and precision engineering in Europe.

5. Gold: A Strong Player in the New Investment Era

  • Long-Term Uptrend: Gold is on a sustained upward trend, not just a short-term rebound.
  • Advantage over Currencies: Gold continues to strengthen against the dollar and euro.

6. Mixed Outlook for Emerging Markets (Including South Korea)

  • Three Conditions Presented: Private sector-led economy, export growth, governance improvement.
  • Beneficiary Nations: Indonesia, Taiwan, Philippines, Mexico, Vietnam, etc.
  • Why South Korea is Excluded?: Shortfalls in some factors like private sector ratio and export growth rate.

7. Portfolio Strategy

  • Diversified Investment > Stable Dividend Stocks and Bonds:
    • Recommendation for financially sound stocks with high dividend yields to mitigate volatility.
    • Recommendation for bonds that can be traded with volatility.
  • Capital Shift from MMFs (Money Market Funds):
    • Anticipated capital flow to dividend stocks and corporate bonds due to interest rate cuts.

8. Promising Industries and Markets

  • Renewable Energy and Data-Driven Industries:
    • Data center power demand -> Essential investments in power/infrastructure/resources.
    • Expected growth in healthcare, manufacturing, and defense industries due to increased AI utilization.
  • Increased Defense Spending: Defense AI and tech companies connected to the private sector to benefit.

9. Competitive Strength: The United States

  • The U.S. economy continues to show strength, with growth potential in both bond and stock markets.
  • The U.S. economy is particularly advantaged amidst global interest rate cuts and emerging market weakness.

Investment Implications and Conclusions

  • Thematic investment and AI-focused strategies are crucial amidst global volatility.
  • Gold, dividend stocks, healthcare, and data center-related industries must be included in the portfolio.
  • 2025 is a significant year to explore long-term growth opportunities amidst high volatility.

< Summary in English >

2025 Global Economic & Investment Outlook

  1. Overview
    • Increased market volatility expected; thematic and active investments emphasized.
    • Key themes: decreasing interest rates, growing AI investments, macroeconomic recovery.
  2. Expert Opinions
    • BlackRock: Inflation risks with a conservative approach (TIPs recommended).
    • Goldman Sachs: AI-driven growth, strong performance in S&P 500.
    • JP Morgan: Focus on AI value chains, energy investments, and long-term opportunities.
  3. Gold: The Standout Asset
  • Gold poised for long-term upward momentum, outperforming major currencies.
  1. Emerging Markets
    • Key conditions: private-led economy, export growth, strong governance.
    • Benefiting nations: Taiwan, Philippines, Mexico, India, etc.
  2. Asset Allocation
    • Diversification with high-dividend stocks, investment-grade bonds, and thematic equities.
    • Capital to shift from MMFs towards equities as rates decline.
  3. Industrial Opportunities
  • Renewable energy, data-centric infrastructure, AI-driven growth across all sectors.

In conclusion, 2025 presents a unique mix of volatility and growth opportunities, with AI and gold leading the charge.


*YouTube Source: [이효석아카데미]

– [먼슬리구루] AI, AI, AI 2024년에 이어 2025년에도 AI입니다 [JP모건]

[Korean Summary]



[Lee Hyo-seok Academy]

[Monthly Guru] AI, AI, AI – AI Dominance Continues in 2025 [JPMorgan]

2025 Global Economic and Investment Forecast: An Overview by BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan

  1. 2025 Global Economic and Investment Forecast: An Overview
  • Major global investment institutions have released their economic and investment outlooks for 2025.
  • A common prediction is high volatility, emphasizing the importance of thematic and active investment strategies.
  • Key keywords: interest rate cuts, increased AI investment, economic recovery, emerging markets.
  1. BlackRock’s Outlook: Navigating Volatility with a Conservative Approach
  • Emphasis on inflation risks: potential resurgence of inflation mid-interest rate cuts.
  • Recommendation of TIPs (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities): for volatility and inflation protection.
  • Positive outlook for the U.S.: expecting long-term U.S. economic resilience.
  1. Goldman Sachs: AI-Driven Growth and Robust Recovery
  • AI-led growth: continued growth of AI-related big tech stocks.
  • Highlighting S&P 500 performance: expecting profit growth across all sectors.
  • Stable U.S. economy: S&P 500 on track for the best profit gains since 2018.
  1. JPMorgan’s Focus: AI Value Chain and Strategic Investments
  • Focus on the AI value chain: increased AI investment across various industries beyond simple IT.
  • Attention to healthcare and defense sectors: expecting cost savings through human replacement and AI utilization.
  • Investment in power and infrastructure: importance of electricity and renewable infrastructure due to data center and 5G demand.
  • Rediscovering Europe: opportunities in renewable energy and precision engineering in Europe.
  1. Gold as a Safe Haven: A Long-Term Investment Trend
  • Long-term upward trend: gold’s continuous upward trajectory, not just a short-term rebound.
  • Superiority over currencies: gold’s continued strength against the dollar, euro, etc.
  1. Emerging Markets: A Mixed Outlook (Including Analysis of Exclusion of Korea)
  • Three conditions presented: private sector-led economy, export growth, governance improvement.
  • Beneficiary countries: Indonesia, Taiwan, Philippines, Mexico, Vietnam, etc.
  • Why is Korea excluded?: Falls short in some factors like private sector share and export growth rate.
  1. Portfolio Strategies: Diversification and Stability
  • Diversified investment > stable dividend stocks and bonds: recommending financially sound stocks with high dividend yields for volatility mitigation.
  • Recommending bonds that can be used for volatility trading.
  • Fund movement from MMF (Money Market Funds): expecting fund flows into dividend stocks and corporate bonds due to interest rate cuts.
  1. Key Investment Opportunities: Industries and Markets to Watch
  • Renewable energy and data-centric industries: data center power demand -> essential investment in power/infrastructure/resources.
  • Expected growth in healthcare, manufacturing, and defense industries due to increased AI utilization.
  • Increased defense spending: benefit for defense AI and technology companies connected to the private sector.
  1. The Competitive Edge: The Strength of the U.S. Economy
  • The U.S. economy continues to show strength, with growth potential in both bond and stock markets.
  • The U.S. economy is particularly advantageous amid the weakness of emerging markets due to global interest rate cuts.
  1. Investment Implications and Conclusion: Preparing for 2025
  • Thematic investment and AI-focused strategies are crucial amidst global volatility.
  • Essential portfolio inclusions: gold, dividend stocks, healthcare, and data center-related industries.
  • 2025 is a critical year for exploring long-term growth opportunities amidst significant volatility.

< Summary in English >

2025 Global Economic & Investment Outlook

  1. Overview
    • Increased market volatility expected; thematic and active investments emphasized.
    • Key themes: decreasing interest rates, growing AI investments, macroeconomic recovery.
  2. Expert Opinions
    • BlackRock: Inflation risks with a conservative approach (TIPs recommended).
    • Goldman Sachs: AI-driven growth, strong performance in S&P 500.
    • JP Morgan: Focus on AI value chains, energy investments, and long-term opportunities.
  3. Gold: The Standout Asset
  • Gold poised for long-term upward momentum, outperforming major currencies.
  1. Emerging Markets
    • Key conditions: private-led economy, export growth, strong governance.
    • Benefiting nations: Taiwan, Philippines, Mexico, India, etc.
  2. Asset Allocation
    • Diversification with high-dividend stocks, investment-grade bonds, and thematic equities.
    • Capital to shift from MMFs towards equities as rates decline.
  3. Industrial Opportunities
  • Renewable energy, data-centric infrastructure, AI-driven growth across all sectors.

In conclusion, 2025 presents a unique mix of volatility and growth opportunities, with AI and gold leading the charge.


    2025 Global Economic and Investment Outlook by BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and JP Morgan 1. 2025 Investment Strategy Overview Major global investment institutions have released their economic and investment forecasts for 2025. They commonly predict high volatility and emphasize the importance of thematic and active investing. Key keywords: interest rate cuts, increased AI investment,…

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