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● Disinflation-Eases,Recession-Fears-Fade U.S. PCE Inflation After the Methodology Revision: More Evidence of Disinflation Than an Inflation Shock The key takeaway from the latest U.S. PCE inflation release is not simply that the figures came in lower than expected. With the BEA’s measurement revision and annual updates now reflected in the data, the main point is…
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● Fed Shock, Rates Up, Inflation Returns, Dollar Surges September FOMC Immediate Analysis: U.S. Policy Rate Raised by 0.25%p, with the Key Focus on “Reacceleration in Inflation” and “Further Rate Hikes” The most important point from this September FOMC meeting is not simply that the U.S. policy rate was raised. The key issue is why…
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● ECB Rate Hike, US PPI Shock, Markets Jolt ECB Rate Hike and U.S. PPI Surprise: The Market Focus Is Elsewhere Today’s market had two key events. The first was the ECB policy decision in the euro area, and the second was the U.S. producer price index (PPI) release. In short, the ECB raised rates…
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● Hormuz Oil Shock Inflation Rates Stocks Why the Strait of Hormuz Crisis Triggered a Surge in Oil Prices, Inflation, and Interest Rates at the Same Time, and the Real Core Point Investors Need to Watch The core point of this Hormuz Strait issue is not simply that “an oil tanker was attacked.” The market…
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● Oil Shock, Inflation Surge, Market Rout The Key Variable for the August Market Is Not Rates or Earnings, but Crude Oil When assessing the August equity market, the first variable to monitor is not simply the KOSPI index or the direction of U.S. equities. The main risk in this phase is a renewed surge…
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● AI, Gold, Shock Bernstein’s $4,533 Gold Forecast and SK Hynix ADR Listing: The Real Focus of the U.S. Market The key point in today’s market is not simply that semiconductors rallied.The real story is the combination of the SK Hynix ADR listing, Micron’s surge, record global memory revenue, Bernstein’s $4,533 gold target, mixed PepsiCo…
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● Bitcoin-inflation, Buffett-warning, Saylor-bet, cash-drain, retirement-shift Buffett’s Inflation Warning: Is Bitcoin a Viable Hedge? Key Points Investors Should Not Miss This topic is not limited to a single “Bitcoin outlook.” It requires a unified view of: why Warren Buffett has consistently highlighted currency debasement risk, why Michael Saylor used corporate capital to accumulate Bitcoin, why…
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● Middle East Deal Shock, Oil, Inflation, Rates, AI Stocks Middle East Ceasefire MOU Nearing Signature: Why a Digital Signature, and What It Signals for Oil, Inflation, Rates, and Risk Assets This development should not be read as a straightforward “ceasefire agreement” headline. While the market focus is on “possible conclusion within 24 hours,” the…
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● Iran War Threat, CPI Surprise, Data Center Projects Halt “Iran escalation + CPI surpasses 4% + data center ‘construction cancellation’” all hit at once… why the Nasdaq fell 2%, and how investors should think about decision-making Three major market shocks today—on the surface, fear; underneath, it’s closer to a ‘timing issue’ 1) Concerns over…
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● KOSPI Rally, Inflation Cooldown, Oil Relief, Pension Boost Three Reasons the KOSPI Has a Strong Case to Rise Tomorrow: Key Metrics and Market Transmission Channels This note is not a sentiment-based call. It outlines three catalysts—(1) easing US inflation signals, (2) reduced Middle East geopolitical risk, and (3) an increased domestic equity target allocation…
