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● “Post-Ukraine, Hotspot Alert”

Global Economic and International Affairs Outlook – Trump, Ukraine, Russia, and the Underbelly of the United States

1. Trump’s War Termination Strategy and Reduction of U.S. Security Costs

President Trump aims to end wars swiftly and reduce unnecessary security costs.
Regarding the Ukraine war, the United States is pursuing a strategy of partially blocking key weapons and intelligence provision, based on the perception that “it’s not my war.”
The blockade of weapons supply, reconnaissance, and surveillance information significantly impacts the Ukrainian front, potentially shifting the war’s end from a truce to a cessation phase.

2. Development of the Russia-Ukraine War and Territorial Disputes

Russia considers the areas it has secured since the invasion of Ukraine as its actual territory and is firm in its stance against territorial return through negotiation.
President Putin is trying to create a victory framework for his country by presenting conflicting conditions such as rejecting NATO membership and security pledges to Ukraine.
These conditions are unfavorable to Ukraine and President Zelensky, further complicating political and military system changes after the war ends.

3. U.S. Economy and Tariff Strategy – Fiscal Deficit and Energy Hegemony Issues

The United States is under considerable economic pressure due to the twin deficits (trade and fiscal deficits), and President Trump is focused on imposing tariffs and securing energy hegemony to resolve this.
While tariff policies are being pursued with the expectation of protecting domestic industries and trade readjustment, they are simultaneously causing side effects such as rising domestic prices and worsening public opinion.
Trump seeks to increase the long-term competitiveness of the U.S. economy through global energy hegemony strategies, including energy, Arctic sea routes, and Siberian and Martian fuel development.

4. North Korea and South Korea – Unification Strategy and Military Preparedness

While North Korea is considering a two-pronged strategy of peaceful and forceful unification, President Kim Jong-un is preparing an attack and occupation scenario of South Korea with a ‘Red Unification’ strategy in the event of war.
The South Korean government and military authorities are cooperating closely on issues such as prisoners of war and military intelligence leaks, but diplomatic conflicts also exist, such as the issue of conditions for the repatriation of prisoners.
Historical conflicts and current economic and security situations are intertwined, and issues of inter-Korean unification, military strategy, and international cooperation are being viewed together.

5. Complex Upheaval of International Politics and Economy, and Global Outlook

Various countries such as the United States, Russia, Ukraine, China, and North Korea are intricately intertwined with their own interests, security, and economic benefits.
Trump’s short-term war termination strategy, tariffs, and energy hegemony are expected to play an important role in the reconstruction of the U.S. economy and the reorganization of the global economic order.
Amidst the instability of the global economy and international affairs, the diplomatic and economic strategies of each country are expected to have a significant impact on the future global economic and security structure.

President Trump is pursuing a strategic blockade of weapons and information in the Ukraine war with the goal of reducing unnecessary security costs and ending the war early.
Russia has effectively secured some territory in Ukraine and is trying to gain a favorable position in negotiations by setting conditions such as NATO membership.
The United States is responding to fiscal and trade deficit problems through tariff policies and securing energy hegemony, while also facing domestic economic and public opinion issues.
Meanwhile, North Korea is simultaneously preparing for both peaceful and forceful unification, adding complex variables to inter-Korean relations.
These international affairs and economic prospects are expected to be important variables that will reshape the world order in the future, with various issues of the global economy, Trump, Ukraine, Russia, and the United States intertwined.

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